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Simply Rational

Simply Rational PDF Author: Gerd Gigerenzer
Publisher: Evolution and Cognition
ISBN: 019939007X
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 329

Book Description
Statistical illiteracy can have an enormously negative impact on decision making. This volume of collected papers brings together applied and theoretical research on risks and decision making across the fields of medicine, psychology, and economics. Collectively, the essays demonstrate why the frame in which statistics are communicated is essential for broader understanding and sound decision making, and that understanding risks and uncertainty has wide-reaching implications for daily life. Gerd Gigerenzer provides a lucid review and catalog of concrete instances of heuristics, or rules of thumb, that people and animals rely on to make decisions under uncertainty, explaining why these are very often more rational than probability models. After a critical look at behavioral theories that do not model actual psychological processes, the book concludes with a call for a heuristic revolution that will enable us to understand the ecological rationality of both statistics and heuristics, and bring a dose of sanity to the study of rationality.

Simply Rational

Simply Rational PDF Author: Gerd Gigerenzer
Publisher: Evolution and Cognition
ISBN: 019939007X
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 329

Book Description
Statistical illiteracy can have an enormously negative impact on decision making. This volume of collected papers brings together applied and theoretical research on risks and decision making across the fields of medicine, psychology, and economics. Collectively, the essays demonstrate why the frame in which statistics are communicated is essential for broader understanding and sound decision making, and that understanding risks and uncertainty has wide-reaching implications for daily life. Gerd Gigerenzer provides a lucid review and catalog of concrete instances of heuristics, or rules of thumb, that people and animals rely on to make decisions under uncertainty, explaining why these are very often more rational than probability models. After a critical look at behavioral theories that do not model actual psychological processes, the book concludes with a call for a heuristic revolution that will enable us to understand the ecological rationality of both statistics and heuristics, and bring a dose of sanity to the study of rationality.

Research and Statistics to Meet Today's Needs and Tomorrow's Challenges

Research and Statistics to Meet Today's Needs and Tomorrow's Challenges PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Public welfare
Languages : en
Pages : 172

Book Description


PISA 2006 Science Competencies for Tomorrow's World: Volume 1: Analysis

PISA 2006 Science Competencies for Tomorrow's World: Volume 1: Analysis PDF Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
ISBN: 9264040013
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 390

Book Description
PISA 2006: Science Competencies for Tomorrow’s World presents the results from the most recent PISA survey, which focused on science and also assessed mathematics and reading. It is divided into two volumes: the first offers an analysis of the results, the second contains the underlying data.

A Shan and English Dictionary

A Shan and English Dictionary PDF Author: Josiah Nelson Cushing
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 628

Book Description


Tomorrow's Manpower Needs

Tomorrow's Manpower Needs PDF Author: United States. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Employment forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 48

Book Description


Tomorrow’s Enterprising Scientists

Tomorrow’s Enterprising Scientists PDF Author: Camden Flath
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
ISBN: 1422295478
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 64

Book Description
Computer software helps us communicate with others, entertains us, and assists us in doing work. But who does the work of putting the software together, deciding how it will work and how people use it? Whether checking your e-mail inbox, playing your favorite video game, or writing a paper, you are using computer software that had to be designed and developed by groups of skilled workers. The young adults of today will be the job force of tomorrow, so choosing a career that will best fit with the needs of the changing world will be important to job satisfaction and a successful life. With the vast array of career and job options, it will also be important for young adults to understand which work will be the best match for their interests, talents, goals, and personality types. Certain careers are expected to gain importance within the early decades of the twenty-first century. Jobs related to computer software are on track to grow faster than the average rate for all occupations. Careers in computer software will prove to be a vital part of the coming decades of the twenty-first century, just as they have been in its first decade. Who will companies and organizations turn to when they need advice about communications and computer technology? Who will create tomorrow's software—the next useful tool that will change the world or the newest million-selling game? Could it be you?

Engineering Geology for Tomorrow's Cities

Engineering Geology for Tomorrow's Cities PDF Author: International Association for Engineering Geology and the Environment. International Congress
Publisher: Geological Society of London
ISBN: 9781862392908
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 332

Book Description
Summing up knowledge and understanding of engineering geology as is applies to the urban environment at the start of the 21st century, this volume demonstrates that: working standards are becoming internationalised; risk assessment is driving decision-making; geo-environmental change is becoming better understood; greater use of underground space is being made; and IT advances are improving subsurface visualization. --

Coal: Its Role in Tomorrow's Technology

Coal: Its Role in Tomorrow's Technology PDF Author: Charles Simeons
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 1483148742
Category : Nature
Languages : en
Pages : 330

Book Description
Coal: Its Role in Tomorrow's Technology: A Sourcebook on Global Coal Resources focuses on the increasing consideration of coal as an alternative energy source, taking into consideration the mining, production, and research and development programs of various countries on this mineral. The book first offers information on energy demand, particularly noting the increasing consumption of energy around the world. The experience of the United States in meeting its energy demand through importation of oil and natural gas is discussed. The manuscript then examines the sources of coal and other resources, including types and properties of coal and disturbances in coal seams. The publication takes a look at the state of industries and coal production capabilities of various countries, such as the USSR, China, India, Poland, Australia, South Africa, and Canada. The text also considers the national research and development programs of the USSR, United States, China, India, Poland, France, and other countries on coal preparation, monitoring, and production. The manuscript discusses modern exploration programs on coal, mining plants and equipment, gasification of coal, and conversion of chemicals from coal. The text is a primary reference for readers interested in studying coal as an alternative energy source.

Research and Statistics to Meet Today's and Tomorrow's Challenges, Proceedings of the Ninth Workshop on Public Welfare Research and Statistics, New Orleans, Louisiana, August 10-13, 1969

Research and Statistics to Meet Today's and Tomorrow's Challenges, Proceedings of the Ninth Workshop on Public Welfare Research and Statistics, New Orleans, Louisiana, August 10-13, 1969 PDF Author: National Center for Social Statistics
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 164

Book Description


Tomorrow's Transportation

Tomorrow's Transportation PDF Author: United States. Urban Transportation Administration
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Urban transportation
Languages : en
Pages : 120

Book Description