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Loss Models

Loss Models PDF Author: Stuart A. Klugman
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470391332
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 758

Book Description
An update of one of the most trusted books on constructing and analyzing actuarial models Written by three renowned authorities in the actuarial field, Loss Models, Third Edition upholds the reputation for excellence that has made this book required reading for the Society of Actuaries (SOA) and Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) qualification examinations. This update serves as a complete presentation of statistical methods for measuring risk and building models to measure loss in real-world events. This book maintains an approach to modeling and forecasting that utilizes tools related to risk theory, loss distributions, and survival models. Random variables, basic distributional quantities, the recursive method, and techniques for classifying and creating distributions are also discussed. Both parametric and non-parametric estimation methods are thoroughly covered along with advice for choosing an appropriate model. Features of the Third Edition include: Extended discussion of risk management and risk measures, including Tail-Value-at-Risk (TVaR) New sections on extreme value distributions and their estimation Inclusion of homogeneous, nonhomogeneous, and mixed Poisson processes Expanded coverage of copula models and their estimation Additional treatment of methods for constructing confidence regions when there is more than one parameter The book continues to distinguish itself by providing over 400 exercises that have appeared on previous SOA and CAS examinations. Intriguing examples from the fields of insurance and business are discussed throughout, and all data sets are available on the book's FTP site, along with programs that assist with conducting loss model analysis. Loss Models, Third Edition is an essential resource for students and aspiring actuaries who are preparing to take the SOA and CAS preliminary examinations. It is also a must-have reference for professional actuaries, graduate students in the actuarial field, and anyone who works with loss and risk models in their everyday work. To explore our additional offerings in actuarial exam preparation visit www.wiley.com/go/actuarialexamprep.

Loss Models

Loss Models PDF Author: Stuart A. Klugman
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470391332
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 758

Book Description
An update of one of the most trusted books on constructing and analyzing actuarial models Written by three renowned authorities in the actuarial field, Loss Models, Third Edition upholds the reputation for excellence that has made this book required reading for the Society of Actuaries (SOA) and Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) qualification examinations. This update serves as a complete presentation of statistical methods for measuring risk and building models to measure loss in real-world events. This book maintains an approach to modeling and forecasting that utilizes tools related to risk theory, loss distributions, and survival models. Random variables, basic distributional quantities, the recursive method, and techniques for classifying and creating distributions are also discussed. Both parametric and non-parametric estimation methods are thoroughly covered along with advice for choosing an appropriate model. Features of the Third Edition include: Extended discussion of risk management and risk measures, including Tail-Value-at-Risk (TVaR) New sections on extreme value distributions and their estimation Inclusion of homogeneous, nonhomogeneous, and mixed Poisson processes Expanded coverage of copula models and their estimation Additional treatment of methods for constructing confidence regions when there is more than one parameter The book continues to distinguish itself by providing over 400 exercises that have appeared on previous SOA and CAS examinations. Intriguing examples from the fields of insurance and business are discussed throughout, and all data sets are available on the book's FTP site, along with programs that assist with conducting loss model analysis. Loss Models, Third Edition is an essential resource for students and aspiring actuaries who are preparing to take the SOA and CAS preliminary examinations. It is also a must-have reference for professional actuaries, graduate students in the actuarial field, and anyone who works with loss and risk models in their everyday work. To explore our additional offerings in actuarial exam preparation visit www.wiley.com/go/actuarialexamprep.

Student Solutions Manual to Accompany Loss Models: From Data to Decisions

Student Solutions Manual to Accompany Loss Models: From Data to Decisions PDF Author: Stuart A. Klugman
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119538068
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 303

Book Description
Solutions manual to accompany a text with comprehensive coverage of actuarial modeling techniques The Student Solutions Manual to Accompany Loss Models: From Data to Decisions covers solutions related to the companion text. The manual and text are designed for use by actuaries and those studying for the profession. Readers can learn modeling techniques used across actuarial science. Knowledge of the techniques is also beneficial for those who use loss data to build models for risk assessment.

Loss Distributions

Loss Distributions PDF Author: Robert V. Hogg
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470317302
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 254

Book Description
Devoted to the problem of fitting parametric probability distributions to data, this treatment uniquely unifies loss modeling in one book. Data sets used are related to the insurance industry, but can be applied to other distributions. Emphasis is on the distribution of single losses related to claims made against various types of insurance policies. Includes five sets of insurance data as examples.

Loss Models

Loss Models PDF Author: Stuart A. Klugman
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119523788
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 563

Book Description
A guide that provides in-depth coverage of modeling techniques used throughout many branches of actuarial science, revised and updated Now in its fifth edition, Loss Models: From Data to Decisions puts the focus on material tested in the Society of Actuaries (SOA) newly revised Exams STAM (Short-Term Actuarial Mathematics) and LTAM (Long-Term Actuarial Mathematics). Updated to reflect these exam changes, this vital resource offers actuaries, and those aspiring to the profession, a practical approach to the concepts and techniques needed to succeed in the profession. The techniques are also valuable for anyone who uses loss data to build models for assessing risks of any kind. Loss Models contains a wealth of examples that highlight the real-world applications of the concepts presented, and puts the emphasis on calculations and spreadsheet implementation. With a focus on the loss process, the book reviews the essential quantitative techniques such as random variables, basic distributional quantities, and the recursive method, and discusses techniques for classifying and creating distributions. Parametric, non-parametric, and Bayesian estimation methods are thoroughly covered. In addition, the authors offer practical advice for choosing an appropriate model. This important text: • Presents a revised and updated edition of the classic guide for actuaries that aligns with newly introduced Exams STAM and LTAM • Contains a wealth of exercises taken from previous exams • Includes fresh and additional content related to the material required by the Society of Actuaries (SOA) and the Canadian Institute of Actuaries (CIA) • Offers a solutions manual available for further insight, and all the data sets and supplemental material are posted on a companion site Written for students and aspiring actuaries who are preparing to take the SOA examinations, Loss Models offers an essential guide to the concepts and techniques of actuarial science.

Loss Models

Loss Models PDF Author: Stuart A. Klugman
Publisher: Wiley-Interscience
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 678

Book Description
A modern practical guide to building and using actuarial models. Loss Models: From Data to Decisions is organized around the principle that actuaries build models in order to analyze risks and make decisions about managing the risks based on conclusions drawn from the analysis. In practice, one begins with data and ends with a business decision. The book flows logically from this principle. It begins with a framework for model building and a description of frequency and severity loss data typically available to actuaries. Parametric models are emphasized throughout. The frequency and severity models are used in building aggregate loss models, in credibility-based pricing models, and in loss analysis over multiple time periods. Designed as both an educational text as well as a professional reference, Loss Models: Assumes little prior knowledge of insurance systems Features many fascinating examples taken from insurance files Contains a major instructive case study continued through each chapter Covers the classical areas of risk theory and loss distributions Gives a practical but rigorous treatment of modern credibility theory Uses standard statistical concepts, methods, and notation Provides modern computational algorithms for implementing methods Includes free companion software available from an FTP site Deals with many topics on CAS 4B and SOA 151 and 152 actuarial exams Includes many exercises based on past CAS and SOA exams.

Working with Loss and Grief

Working with Loss and Grief PDF Author: Linda Machin
Publisher: SAGE
ISBN: 144620636X
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 217

Book Description
'In a book that is replete with illustrative case studies, Linda Machin draws together the findings of a wide range of psychological and sociological theory and research in order to develop a way of thinking about grief and loss that is intelligible to ordinary mortals. Her Adult Attitude to Grief scale promises to be a useful tool by which problems can be identified and progress monitored' - Colin Murray Parkes, Honorary Consultant Psychiatrist to St. Christopher's Hospice Loss is a universal human experience. Supporting those who are grieving a significant life loss is a key role for many professionals in health and social care settings and is the focus in many voluntary organisations. Although there is an extensive literature on loss and bereavement, practitioners often struggle to see how to put theory into practice. Working with Loss and Grief provides a new model which makes clear connections between theory and practice. The 'Range of Response to Loss' model provides a theoretical 'compass' for recognising the wide variability in reaction to loss and the 'Adult Attitude to Grief' scale is a tool for 'mapping' individual grief and its change over time, providing an individual grief profile. Together these offer a framework for practitioners to: " Listen to stories of grief told by clients " Identify common patterns in grief; " Recognize individual difference in grief response " Assess the need for therapeutic intervention or support " Prompt therapeutic dialogue " Guide therapeutic focus " Appraise clients " Evaluate outcomes. Case examples show that the experience of grief is highly individual, but also capable of being understood in terms of general concepts. As such it is a valuable resource not only for practitioners and trainees in counselling and social work, but also for psychologists, doctors, nurses, and for researchers studying loss and grief. Dr Linda Machin is a Visiting Research Fellow of Keele University, having been a Lecturer in Social Work and Counselling at Keele. She established a counselling service for the bereaved in North Staffordshire and continues to work as a researcher, a hospice counsellor and a freelance trainer.

Student Solutions Manual to Accompany Loss Models

Student Solutions Manual to Accompany Loss Models PDF Author: Stuart A. Klugman
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 111953805X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 232

Book Description
Loss Models: From Data to Decisions, Fifth Edition continues to supply actuaries with a practical approach to the key concepts and techniques needed on the job. With updated material and extensive examples, the book successfully provides the essential methods for using available data to construct models for the frequency and severity of future adverse outcomes. The book continues to equip readers with the tools needed for the construction and analysis of mathematical models that describe the process by which funds flow into and out of an insurance system. Focusing on the loss process, the authors explore key quantitative techniques including random variables, basic distributional quantities, and the recursive method, and discuss techniques for classifying and creating distributions. Parametric, non-parametric, and Bayesian estimation methods are thoroughly covered along with advice for choosing an appropriate model. Throughout the book, numerous examples showcase the real-world applications of the presented concepts, with an emphasis on calculations and spreadsheet implementation. Loss Models: From Data to Decisions, Fifth Edition is an indispensable resource for students and aspiring actuaries who are preparing to take the SOA and CAS examinations. The book is also a valuable reference for professional actuaries, actuarial students, and anyone who works with loss and risk models.

Improved Seismic Monitoring - Improved Decision-Making

Improved Seismic Monitoring - Improved Decision-Making PDF Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309165032
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 196

Book Description
Improved Seismic Monitoringâ€"Improved Decision-Making, describes and assesses the varied economic benefits potentially derived from modernizing and expanding seismic monitoring activities in the United States. These benefits include more effective loss avoidance regulations and strategies, improved understanding of earthquake processes, better engineering design, more effective hazard mitigation strategies, and improved emergency response and recovery. The economic principles that must be applied to determine potential benefits are reviewed and the report concludes that although there is insufficient information available at present to fully quantify all the potential benefits, the annual dollar costs for improved seismic monitoring are in the tens of millions and the potential annual dollar benefits are in the hundreds of millions.

Interpretable Machine Learning

Interpretable Machine Learning PDF Author: Christoph Molnar
Publisher: Lulu.com
ISBN: 0244768528
Category : Artificial intelligence
Languages : en
Pages : 320

Book Description
This book is about making machine learning models and their decisions interpretable. After exploring the concepts of interpretability, you will learn about simple, interpretable models such as decision trees, decision rules and linear regression. Later chapters focus on general model-agnostic methods for interpreting black box models like feature importance and accumulated local effects and explaining individual predictions with Shapley values and LIME. All interpretation methods are explained in depth and discussed critically. How do they work under the hood? What are their strengths and weaknesses? How can their outputs be interpreted? This book will enable you to select and correctly apply the interpretation method that is most suitable for your machine learning project.

Modeling Sensorineural Hearing Loss

Modeling Sensorineural Hearing Loss PDF Author: Walt Jesteadt
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1317729382
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 515

Book Description
A recent study indicates that 20 million people in the United States have significant sensorineural hearing loss. Approximately 95% of those people have partial losses, with varying degrees of residual hearing. These percentages are similar in other developed countries. What changes in the function of the cochlea or inner ear cause such losses? What does the world sound like to the 19 million people with residual hearing? How should we transform sounds to correct for the hearing loss and maximize restoration of normal hearing? Answers to such questions require detailed models of the way that sounds are processed by the nervous system, both for listeners with normal hearing and for those with sensorineural hearing loss. This book contains chapters describing the work of 25 different research groups. A great deal of research in recent years has been aimed at obtaining a better physiological description of the altered processes that cause sensorineural hearing loss and a better understanding of transformations that occur in the perception of those sounds that are sufficiently intense that they can still be heard. Efforts to understand these changes in function have lead to a better understanding of normal function as well. This research has been based on rigorous mathematical models, computer simulations of mechanical and physiological processes, and signal processing simulations of the altered perceptual experience of listeners with sensorineural hearing loss. This book provides examples of all these approaches to modeling sensorineural hearing loss and a summary of the latest research in the field.