Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Aircraft accidents
Languages : en
Pages : 204
Book Description
NTSB-AMM.
Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports
Monthly Catalog of United States Government Publications
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Government publications
Languages : en
Pages : 1060
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Government publications
Languages : en
Pages : 1060
Book Description
Monthly Catalogue, United States Public Documents
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Government publications
Languages : en
Pages : 1124
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Government publications
Languages : en
Pages : 1124
Book Description
Government Reports Annual Index
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Government reports announcements & index
Languages : en
Pages : 882
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Government reports announcements & index
Languages : en
Pages : 882
Book Description
Federal Register
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Delegated legislation
Languages : en
Pages : 1866
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Delegated legislation
Languages : en
Pages : 1866
Book Description
Federal Information Processing Standards Publication
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Public administration
Languages : en
Pages : 1228
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Public administration
Languages : en
Pages : 1228
Book Description
Monthly Catalog of United States Government Publications
Author: United States. Superintendent of Documents
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Government publications
Languages : en
Pages : 1220
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Government publications
Languages : en
Pages : 1220
Book Description
Publications of the National Transportation Safety Board
Author: United States. National Transportation Safety Board
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Transportation
Languages : en
Pages : 18
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Transportation
Languages : en
Pages : 18
Book Description
Near Midair Collisions as an Indicator of General Aviation Collision Risk
Author: H. Paul Shuch
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Aircraft accidents
Languages : en
Pages : 234
Book Description
"Conventional wisdom suggests aircraft midair collisions to be random events, governed by the laws of Brownian Motion, and best analyzed by stochastic methods. An alternative hypothesis, that such accidents are deterministic in nature, and that specific factors leading to midair collisions can be identified and mitigated, forms the basis for this Dissertation. A predictive model using case control theory is developed for assessing Risk Index, a criterion measure of midair collision likelihood, for any General Aviation flight, actual or hypothetical. Generating the model requires statistical validation of two independent near midair collision databases, and identifying within them those aircraft, aircrew and airspace characteristics most closely associated with collision risk. Calibration of the model shows reality to fall somewhere between the stochastic and deterministic assumptions. A statistically significant correlation is found between predicted and observed Risk Index for a sizable random sample of flights, with a resulting Coefficient of Determination of 0.25. This suggests that we have identified 25% of the source of variance in midair collision risk, the remaining 75% being random. Therefore we can realistically hope to reduce midair collisions by roughly 25%. Strategies for mitigating the identified causal factors are proposed. Measures to reduce the random, remaining 75% of collision risk are also explored. However, these appear to require a significant overhaul of Air Traffic Control procedures, which must be approached with caution, to guard against the attendant possibility of curtailing capacity in the Air Transportation System."--Page 1-2
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Aircraft accidents
Languages : en
Pages : 234
Book Description
"Conventional wisdom suggests aircraft midair collisions to be random events, governed by the laws of Brownian Motion, and best analyzed by stochastic methods. An alternative hypothesis, that such accidents are deterministic in nature, and that specific factors leading to midair collisions can be identified and mitigated, forms the basis for this Dissertation. A predictive model using case control theory is developed for assessing Risk Index, a criterion measure of midair collision likelihood, for any General Aviation flight, actual or hypothetical. Generating the model requires statistical validation of two independent near midair collision databases, and identifying within them those aircraft, aircrew and airspace characteristics most closely associated with collision risk. Calibration of the model shows reality to fall somewhere between the stochastic and deterministic assumptions. A statistically significant correlation is found between predicted and observed Risk Index for a sizable random sample of flights, with a resulting Coefficient of Determination of 0.25. This suggests that we have identified 25% of the source of variance in midair collision risk, the remaining 75% being random. Therefore we can realistically hope to reduce midair collisions by roughly 25%. Strategies for mitigating the identified causal factors are proposed. Measures to reduce the random, remaining 75% of collision risk are also explored. However, these appear to require a significant overhaul of Air Traffic Control procedures, which must be approached with caution, to guard against the attendant possibility of curtailing capacity in the Air Transportation System."--Page 1-2