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Puzzles in International Financial Markets

Puzzles in International Financial Markets PDF Author: Karen K. Lewis
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Foreign exchange rates
Languages : en
Pages : 94

Book Description
This paper presents a survey of two basic puzzles in international finance. The first puzzle is the `predictable excess return puzzle.' The returns on foreign currency deposits relative to domestic currency deposits should be equalized based upon uncovered interest parity. However, not only do researchers find that deviations from uncovered interest parity are predictable ex ante, but their variance exceeds the variance in expected exchange rate changes. In the paper, I describe different explanations of this phenomenon including the view that excess returns are driven by a foreign exchange risk premium, peso problems or learning, and market inefficiencies. While the research to date has been able to better define the `predictable excess return puzzle' and to suggest the most likely directions for future progress, no one explanation has provided a full answer to the puzzle. The second puzzle is the `home bias puzzle.' Empirical evidence shows that domestic residents do not diversify sufficiently into foreign stocks. This evidence is clear whether looking at models based on portfolio holdings or outcomes of consumption realizations across countries. In this paper, I examine several possible explanations including non-traded goods and market inefficiencies, although even after considering these possibilities, the puzzle remains.

Puzzles in International Financial Markets

Puzzles in International Financial Markets PDF Author: Karen K. Lewis
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Foreign exchange rates
Languages : en
Pages : 94

Book Description
This paper presents a survey of two basic puzzles in international finance. The first puzzle is the `predictable excess return puzzle.' The returns on foreign currency deposits relative to domestic currency deposits should be equalized based upon uncovered interest parity. However, not only do researchers find that deviations from uncovered interest parity are predictable ex ante, but their variance exceeds the variance in expected exchange rate changes. In the paper, I describe different explanations of this phenomenon including the view that excess returns are driven by a foreign exchange risk premium, peso problems or learning, and market inefficiencies. While the research to date has been able to better define the `predictable excess return puzzle' and to suggest the most likely directions for future progress, no one explanation has provided a full answer to the puzzle. The second puzzle is the `home bias puzzle.' Empirical evidence shows that domestic residents do not diversify sufficiently into foreign stocks. This evidence is clear whether looking at models based on portfolio holdings or outcomes of consumption realizations across countries. In this paper, I examine several possible explanations including non-traded goods and market inefficiencies, although even after considering these possibilities, the puzzle remains.

International Capital Markets Structure, Preferences and Puzzles

International Capital Markets Structure, Preferences and Puzzles PDF Author: Guglielmo Maria Caporale
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 30

Book Description


Puzzles of Finance

Puzzles of Finance PDF Author: Mark P. Kritzman
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780471228844
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 214

Book Description
Mit einigen wichtigen Theorien muß jeder Finanzexperte vertraut sein, wenn er die Grundlagen der Finanzanalyse verstehen will. In der Regel jedoch, werden diese Theorien nur unzureichend verstanden. "Puzzles of Finance" befaßt sich eingehend mit diesen komplizierten Finanzthemen und liefert dem Leser verständliche Erklärungen und Definitionen, die sich auf ein absolutes Minimum an Terminologie und Mathematik beschränken.

Explaining Foreign Exchange Market Puzzles

Explaining Foreign Exchange Market Puzzles PDF Author: Mr.Norman C. Miller
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451844506
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 30

Book Description
The paper develops a flow model of the exchange rate with speculative capital flows integrated in a rigorous manner. The model is consistent with five foreign exchange market puzzles: (1) occasional discontinuous jumps in the exchange rate; (2) periodic short-term regimes of persistent appreciation/depreciation that can develop into a long swing; (3) the forward discount bias; (4) volatility clusters in the foreign exchange market that create conditional heteroskedasticity; and (5) the dual profitability of betting in the short run against any official foreign exchange intervention, and betting with the intervention in the long run.

The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics

The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics PDF Author: Maurice Obstfeld
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : International trade
Languages : en
Pages : 76

Book Description
"We also address a variety of international pricing puzzles, including the purchasing power parity puzzle emphasized by Rogoff, and what we term "the exchange rate disconnect puzzle." The latter category of riddles includes both the Meese-Rogoff exchange rate forecasting puzzle and the Baxter-Stockman neutrality of exchange rate regime puzzle. Here, although many elements need to be added to our extremely simple model, trade costs still play an essential role."--Authors.

The International Diversification Puzzle when Goods Prices Are Sticky

The International Diversification Puzzle when Goods Prices Are Sticky PDF Author: Mr.Charles Engel
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451871597
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 49

Book Description
This paper develops a two-country monetary DSGE model in which households choose a portfolio of home and foreign equities, and a forward position in foreign exchange. Some nominal goods prices are sticky. Trade in these assets achieves the same allocations as trade in a complete set of nominal state-contingent claims in our linearized model. When there is a high degree of price stickiness, we show that not much equity diversification is required to replicate the complete-markets equilibrium when agents are able to hedge foreign exchange risk sufficiently. Moreover, temporarily sticky nominal goods prices can have large effects on equity portfolios even when dividend processes are very persistent.

Demystifying China’s Stock Market

Demystifying China’s Stock Market PDF Author: Eric Girardin
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 303017123X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 125

Book Description
Mainstream research has rationalized China’s stock market on the basis of paradigms such as the institutional approach, the efficient market hypothesis, and corporate valuation principles. The deviations from such paradigms have been analyzed as puzzles of China’s stock market. Girardin and Liu explore to what extent, in the perspective of Chinese cultural and historical characteristics, far from being puzzles, these 'deviations’ are rather the symptoms of a consistent strategy for the design, development and regulation of a government-dominated financial system. This book will help investors, observers and researchers understand the hidden logic of the design and functioning of China’s modern stock market, taking a political economy view.

Controversies in Economics and Finance

Controversies in Economics and Finance PDF Author: Imad A. Moosa
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 1839105623
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 352

Book Description
In this fascinating book, Imad A. Moosa challenges existing preconceptions surrounding normative economics, arguing that what some economists see as undisputed facts of life may be myths caused by dogmatic thinking. Plausible explanations are suggested for puzzles in various areas of economics and finance, such as the home bias puzzle, the PPP puzzle and the presidential puzzle. Controversies in Economics and Finance is a thought-provoking and stimulating read that exposes common flaws in economic analysis. It will be of great benefit to academics, graduate students and policy-makers looking to understand the limits of economic analysis.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000 PDF Author: Ben Bernanke
Publisher: Mit Press
ISBN: 9780262025034
Category : Macroeconomics
Languages : en
Pages : 418

Book Description
The NBER Macroeconomics Annual presents, extends, and applies pioneering work in macroeconomics and stimulates work by macroeconomists on important policy issues. Each paper in the Annual is followed by comments and discussion.

Exchange Rates and International Finance Markets

Exchange Rates and International Finance Markets PDF Author: Erich Streissler
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134472676
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 160

Book Description
This book poses the important question of whether exchange rates are ultimately tied down by economic fundamentals. In a unique approach the subject is analysed from an asset holder's perspective and Streissler takes the reader through an authoritative and wide-ranging study including:*Friedman's case for flexible exchange rates*interest parity and