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Reasoning with Data

Reasoning with Data PDF Author: Jeffrey M. Stanton
Publisher: Guilford Publications
ISBN: 1462530265
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 336

Book Description
Engaging and accessible, this book teaches readers how to use inferential statistical thinking to check their assumptions, assess evidence about their beliefs, and avoid overinterpreting results that may look more promising than they really are. It provides step-by-step guidance for using both classical (frequentist) and Bayesian approaches to inference. Statistical techniques covered side by side from both frequentist and Bayesian approaches include hypothesis testing, replication, analysis of variance, calculation of effect sizes, regression, time series analysis, and more. Students also get a complete introduction to the open-source R programming language and its key packages. Throughout the text, simple commands in R demonstrate essential data analysis skills using real-data examples. The companion website provides annotated R code for the book's examples, in-class exercises, supplemental reading lists, and links to online videos, interactive materials, and other resources. ÿ Pedagogical Features *Playful, conversational style and gradual approach; suitable for students without strong math backgrounds. *End-of-chapter exercises based on real data supplied in the free R package. *Technical explanation and equation/output boxes. *Appendices on how to install R and work with the sample datasets.ÿ

Reasoning with Data

Reasoning with Data PDF Author: Jeffrey M. Stanton
Publisher: Guilford Publications
ISBN: 1462530265
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 336

Book Description
Engaging and accessible, this book teaches readers how to use inferential statistical thinking to check their assumptions, assess evidence about their beliefs, and avoid overinterpreting results that may look more promising than they really are. It provides step-by-step guidance for using both classical (frequentist) and Bayesian approaches to inference. Statistical techniques covered side by side from both frequentist and Bayesian approaches include hypothesis testing, replication, analysis of variance, calculation of effect sizes, regression, time series analysis, and more. Students also get a complete introduction to the open-source R programming language and its key packages. Throughout the text, simple commands in R demonstrate essential data analysis skills using real-data examples. The companion website provides annotated R code for the book's examples, in-class exercises, supplemental reading lists, and links to online videos, interactive materials, and other resources. ÿ Pedagogical Features *Playful, conversational style and gradual approach; suitable for students without strong math backgrounds. *End-of-chapter exercises based on real data supplied in the free R package. *Technical explanation and equation/output boxes. *Appendices on how to install R and work with the sample datasets.ÿ

Bayesian Reasoning in Data Analysis

Bayesian Reasoning in Data Analysis PDF Author: Giulio D'Agostini
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814486094
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 352

Book Description
This book provides a multi-level introduction to Bayesian reasoning (as opposed to “conventional statistics”) and its applications to data analysis. The basic ideas of this “new” approach to the quantification of uncertainty are presented using examples from research and everyday life. Applications covered include: parametric inference; combination of results; treatment of uncertainty due to systematic errors and background; comparison of hypotheses; unfolding of experimental distributions; upper/lower bounds in frontier-type measurements. Approximate methods for routine use are derived and are shown often to coincide — under well-defined assumptions! — with “standard” methods, which can therefore be seen as special cases of the more general Bayesian methods. In dealing with uncertainty in measurements, modern metrological ideas are utilized, including the ISO classification of uncertainty into type A and type B. These are shown to fit well into the Bayesian framework. Contents: Critical Review and Outline of the Bayesian Alternative:Uncertainty in Physics and the Usual Methods of Handling ItA Probabilistic Theory of Measurement UncertaintyA Bayesian Primer:Subjective Probability and Bayes' TheoremProbability Distributions (A Concise Reminder)Bayesian Inference of Continuous QuantitiesGaussian LikelihoodCounting ExperimentsBypassing Bayes' Theorem for Routine ApplicationsBayesian UnfoldingFurther Comments, Examples and Applications:Miscellanea on General Issues in Probability and InferenceCombination of Experimental Results: A Closer LookAsymmetric Uncertainties and Nonlinear PropagationWhich Priors for Frontier Physics?Conclusion:Conclusions and Bibliography Readership: Graduate students and researchers interested in probability and statistics and their applications in science, particularly the evaluation of uncertainty in measurements. Keywords:Probability;Bayesian Statistics;Error Theory;Measurement Uncertainty;MetrologyReviews:“… statistics textbooks must take seriously the need to teach the foundations of statistical reasoning from the beginning … D'Agostini's new book does this admirably, building an edifice of Bayesian statistical reasoning in the physical sciences on solid foundations.”Journal of the American Statistical Association

Thinking Clearly with Data

Thinking Clearly with Data PDF Author: Ethan Bueno de Mesquita
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691215014
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 400

Book Description
An engaging introduction to data science that emphasizes critical thinking over statistical techniques An introduction to data science or statistics shouldn’t involve proving complex theorems or memorizing obscure terms and formulas, but that is exactly what most introductory quantitative textbooks emphasize. In contrast, Thinking Clearly with Data focuses, first and foremost, on critical thinking and conceptual understanding in order to teach students how to be better consumers and analysts of the kinds of quantitative information and arguments that they will encounter throughout their lives. Among much else, the book teaches how to assess whether an observed relationship in data reflects a genuine relationship in the world and, if so, whether it is causal; how to make the most informative comparisons for answering questions; what questions to ask others who are making arguments using quantitative evidence; which statistics are particularly informative or misleading; how quantitative evidence should and shouldn’t influence decision-making; and how to make better decisions by using moral values as well as data. Filled with real-world examples, the book shows how its thinking tools apply to problems in a wide variety of subjects, including elections, civil conflict, crime, terrorism, financial crises, health care, sports, music, and space travel. Above all else, Thinking Clearly with Data demonstrates why, despite the many benefits of our data-driven age, data can never be a substitute for thinking. An ideal textbook for introductory quantitative methods courses in data science, statistics, political science, economics, psychology, sociology, public policy, and other fields Introduces the basic toolkit of data analysis—including sampling, hypothesis testing, Bayesian inference, regression, experiments, instrumental variables, differences in differences, and regression discontinuity Uses real-world examples and data from a wide variety of subjects Includes practice questions and data exercises

Statistical Reasoning in Sports

Statistical Reasoning in Sports PDF Author: Josh Tabor
Publisher: Macmillan
ISBN: 1429274379
Category : Juvenile Nonfiction
Languages : en
Pages : 709

Book Description
Offering a unique and powerful way to introduce the principles of statistical reasoning, Statistical Reasoning in Sports features engaging examples and a student-friendly approach. Starting from the very first chapter, students are able to ask questions, collect and analyze data, and draw conclusions using randomization tests. Is it harder to shoot free throws with distractions? We explore this question by designing an experiment, collecting the data, and using a hands-on simulation to analyze results. Completely covering the Common Core Standards for Probability and Statistics, Statistical Reasoning in Sports is an accessible and fun way to learn about statistics!

Thinking and Reasoning with Data and Chance

Thinking and Reasoning with Data and Chance PDF Author: Gail Burrill
Publisher: National Council of Teachers of English
ISBN:
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 504

Book Description
Accompanying CD-ROM contains ... "support material for many of the articles, including lessons, software demonstrations, and even video clips of classrooms."--P. [4] of cover.

Reasoning Techniques for the Web of Data

Reasoning Techniques for the Web of Data PDF Author: A. Hogan
Publisher: IOS Press
ISBN: 1614993831
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 344

Book Description
Linked Data publishing has brought about a novel “Web of Data”: a wealth of diverse, interlinked, structured data published on the Web. These Linked Datasets are described using the Semantic Web standards and are openly available to all, produced by governments, businesses, communities and academia alike. However, the heterogeneity of such data – in terms of how resources are described and identified – poses major challenges to potential consumers. Herein, we examine use cases for pragmatic, lightweight reasoning techniques that leverage Web vocabularies (described in RDFS and OWL) to better integrate large scale, diverse, Linked Data corpora. We take a test corpus of 1.1 billion RDF statements collected from 4 million RDF Web documents and analyse the use of RDFS and OWL therein. We then detail and evaluate scalable and distributed techniques for applying rule-based materialisation to translate data between different vocabularies, and to resolve coreferent resources that talk about the same thing. We show how such techniques can be made robust in the face of noisy and often impudent Web data. We also examine a use case for incorporating a PagerRank-style algorithm to rank the trustworthiness of facts produced by reasoning, subsequently using those ranks to fix formal contradictions in the data. All of our methods are validated against our real world, large scale, open domain, Linked Data evaluation corpus.

Data Science in R

Data Science in R PDF Author: Deborah Nolan
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1482234823
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 533

Book Description
Effectively Access, Transform, Manipulate, Visualize, and Reason about Data and ComputationData Science in R: A Case Studies Approach to Computational Reasoning and Problem Solving illustrates the details involved in solving real computational problems encountered in data analysis. It reveals the dynamic and iterative process by which data analysts

Data Representations, Transformations, and Statistics for Visual Reasoning

Data Representations, Transformations, and Statistics for Visual Reasoning PDF Author: Ross Maciejewski
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031025997
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 75

Book Description
Analytical reasoning techniques are methods by which users explore their data to obtain insight and knowledge that can directly support situational awareness and decision making. Recently, the analytical reasoning process has been augmented through the use of interactive visual representations and tools which utilize cognitive, design and perceptual principles. These tools are commonly referred to as visual analytics tools, and the underlying methods and principles have roots in a variety of disciplines. This chapter provides an introduction to young researchers as an overview of common visual representations and statistical analysis methods utilized in a variety of visual analytics systems. The application and design of visualization and analytical algorithms are subject to design decisions, parameter choices, and many conflicting requirements. As such, this chapter attempts to provide an initial set of guidelines for the creation of the visual representation, including pitfalls and areas where the graphics can be enhanced through interactive exploration. Basic analytical methods are explored as a means of enhancing the visual analysis process, moving from visual analysis to visual analytics. Table of Contents: Data Types / Color Schemes / Data Preconditioning / Visual Representations and Analysis / Summary

The Challenge of Developing Statistical Literacy, Reasoning and Thinking

The Challenge of Developing Statistical Literacy, Reasoning and Thinking PDF Author: Dani Ben-Zvi
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1402022786
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 423

Book Description
Unique in that it collects, presents, and synthesizes cutting edge research on different aspects of statistical reasoning and applies this research to the teaching of statistics to students at all educational levels, this volume will prove of great value to mathematics and statistics education researchers, statistics educators, statisticians, cognitive psychologists, mathematics teachers, mathematics and statistics curriculum developers, and quantitative literacy experts in education and government.

Linked Data

Linked Data PDF Author: Sherif Sakr
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319735152
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 223

Book Description
This book describes efficient and effective techniques for harnessing the power of Linked Data by tackling the various aspects of managing its growing volume: storing, querying, reasoning, provenance management and benchmarking. To this end, Chapter 1 introduces the main concepts of the Semantic Web and Linked Data and provides a roadmap for the book. Next, Chapter 2 briefly presents the basic concepts underpinning Linked Data technologies that are discussed in the book. Chapter 3 then offers an overview of various techniques and systems for centrally querying RDF datasets, and Chapter 4 outlines various techniques and systems for efficiently querying large RDF datasets in distributed environments. Subsequently, Chapter 5 explores how streaming requirements are addressed in current, state-of-the-art RDF stream data processing. Chapter 6 covers performance and scaling issues of distributed RDF reasoning systems, while Chapter 7 details benchmarks for RDF query engines and instance matching systems. Chapter 8 addresses the provenance management for Linked Data and presents the different provenance models developed. Lastly, Chapter 9 offers a brief summary, highlighting and providing insights into some of the open challenges and research directions. Providing an updated overview of methods, technologies and systems related to Linked Data this book is mainly intended for students and researchers who are interested in the Linked Data domain. It enables students to gain an understanding of the foundations and underpinning technologies and standards for Linked Data, while researchers benefit from the in-depth coverage of the emerging and ongoing advances in Linked Data storing, querying, reasoning, and provenance management systems. Further, it serves as a starting point to tackle the next research challenges in the domain of Linked Data management.