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What Happens During Recessions, Crunches and Busts?

What Happens During Recessions, Crunches and Busts? PDF Author: Mr.Ayhan Kose
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451871325
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 77

Book Description
We provide a comprehensive empirical characterization of the linkages between key macroeconomic and financial variables around business and financial cycles for 21 OECD countries over the period 1960–2007. In particular, we analyze the implications of 122 recessions, 112 (28) credit contraction (crunch) episodes, 114 (28) episodes of house price declines (busts), 234 (58) episodes of equity price declines (busts) and their various overlaps in these countries over the sample period. Our results indicate that interactions between macroeconomic and financial variables can play major roles in determining the severity and duration of recessions. Specifically, we find evidence that recessions associated with credit crunches and house price busts tend to be deeper and longer than other recessions. JEL Classification Numbers: E32; E44; E51; F42

What Happens During Recessions, Crunches and Busts?

What Happens During Recessions, Crunches and Busts? PDF Author: Mr.Ayhan Kose
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451871325
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 77

Book Description
We provide a comprehensive empirical characterization of the linkages between key macroeconomic and financial variables around business and financial cycles for 21 OECD countries over the period 1960–2007. In particular, we analyze the implications of 122 recessions, 112 (28) credit contraction (crunch) episodes, 114 (28) episodes of house price declines (busts), 234 (58) episodes of equity price declines (busts) and their various overlaps in these countries over the sample period. Our results indicate that interactions between macroeconomic and financial variables can play major roles in determining the severity and duration of recessions. Specifically, we find evidence that recessions associated with credit crunches and house price busts tend to be deeper and longer than other recessions. JEL Classification Numbers: E32; E44; E51; F42

Financial Cycles

Financial Cycles PDF Author: Mr. Marco Terrones
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1455224073
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 43

Book Description
This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of financial cycles using a large database covering 21 advanced countries over the period 1960:1-2007:4. Specifically, we analyze cycles in credit, house prices, and equity prices. We report three main results. First, financial cycles tend to be long and severe, especially those in housing and equity markets. Second, they are highly synchronized within countries, particularly credit and house price cycles. The extent of synchronization of financial cycles across countries is high as well, mainly for credit and equity cycles, and has been increasing over time. Third financial cycles accentuate each other and become magnified, especially during coincident downturns in credit and housing markets. Moreover, globally synchronized downturns tend to be associated with more prolonged and costly episodes, especially for credit and equity cycles. We discuss how these findings can guide future research on various aspects of financial market developments.

Economic Policy 60

Economic Policy 60 PDF Author: Georges De Menil
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1405189193
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 212

Book Description
Top economists provide a concise and accessible evaluation of major developments in trade and trade policy. Economic Policy has earned a reputation around the world as the one publication that always identifies current and emerging policy topics early Papers are specially commissioned from first-class economists and experts in the policy field The editors are all based at top European economic institutions and each paper is discussed by a panel of distinguished economists This unique approach guarantees incisive debate and alternative interpretations of the evidence

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications PDF Author: Mr.Stijn Claessens
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475561008
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 66

Book Description
This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.

The Economic Outlook and Budget Challenges

The Economic Outlook and Budget Challenges PDF Author: United States. Congress. House. Committee on the Budget
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 96

Book Description


Macroeconomics

Macroeconomics PDF Author: David Miles
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 111999571X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 626

Book Description
Macroeconomics: Understanding the Global Economy, 3rd Edition is to help students – and indeed anyone – understand contemporary and past economic events that shape the world we live in, and at a sophisticated level. But it does so without focusing on mathematical techniques and models for their own sake. Theory is taken seriously – so much so that the authors go to pains to understand the key aspects of theories in a way that will not put people off before they see how theories are useful to analyse issues. The authors believe that theories are essential to better understand the world, thus the book includes a wealth of historic and current episodes and data to both see how theories can help interpret the world and also to judge their validity. Economies today are very inter-connected; what happens in China matters pretty much everywhere; and what happens in one (even small) country in the euro zone has implications for the whole euro area and beyond, consequently Macroeconomics, 3rd Edition adopts a very international focus.

The 2008 Joint Economic Report, January 9, 2009, 111-1 Senate Report 111-1

The 2008 Joint Economic Report, January 9, 2009, 111-1 Senate Report 111-1 PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 432

Book Description


How Do Business and Financial Cycles Interact?

How Do Business and Financial Cycles Interact? PDF Author: Mr.Marco Terrones
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1455233161
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 56

Book Description
This paper analyzes the interactions between business and financial cycles using an extensive database of over 200 business and 700 financial cycles in 44 countries for the period 1960:1-2007:4. Our results suggest that there are strong linkages between different phases of business and financial cycles. In particular, recessions associated with financial disruption episodes, notably house price busts, tend to be longer and deeper than other recessions. Conversely, recoveries associated with rapid growth in credit and house prices tend to be stronger. These findings emphasize the importance of developments in credit and housing markets for the real economy.

The Politics of Recession

The Politics of Recession PDF Author: Maurice Mullard
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 178100112X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 265

Book Description
This timely book utilizes the tools of politics, economics and public policy to explore the causes of the recent global financial crisis, which, the author argues, can be explained as the absence of a public interest perspective in policy making. Maurice Mullard points out that recessions are not collective shared experiences. Recessions create winners and losers. Furthermore, recessions are not an external event but reflect the outcomes of the policy process. The author looks beyond economic explanations for the economic crisis, and instead points towards a structural explanation. He explores the concept of social structures, the effects of the relationships between power and influence, and the role of ideology and income inequalities as contributory factors. The commitment to deregulated financial markets created an over the counter derivatives market worth some $640 trillion dollars compared to a global GDP worth $65 trillion dollars. The growth of derivatives markets, the role of credit rating agencies, major shifts in policy making and growing income inequalities are described as major factors explaining the present economic recession. The absence of a public interest perspective, the breakdown of trust in institutions, policy makers' dependence on financial contributions, the housing bubble, and the increased concentration of income have distorted the democratic process. Thought provoking and stimulating, this book will provide a fascinating study for students and academics with an interest in politics, economics, political economy and public policy.

Dynamics of Financial Stress and Economic Performance

Dynamics of Financial Stress and Economic Performance PDF Author: Ramesh Babu Thimmaraya
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 1787547841
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 208

Book Description
This book primarily focuses on the dynamic relationship between the financial and the economic systems of twelve major economies in the world.