Cyprus: 2022 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Cyprus PDF Download

Author: International Monetary
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 79

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Book Description
Cyprus is highly exposed to the fallout from the war in Ukraine through trade with Russia. This new challenge comes against the background of the lingering effects of the pandemic and financial vulnerabilities dating from the 2012–13 crisis. Growth is projected to slow from 51⁄2 percent in 2021 to around 2 percent this year. Recovery will regain momentum in 2023, and is projected to continue in the medium term, supported by investments and structural reforms in the Recovery and Resilience Plan.

Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 62

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Book Description
Growth is projected to slow from 5.6 percent last year to 21⁄2 percent this year. Recovery in tourism and an influx of foreign companies is set to continue, but elevated inflation and tighter financial conditions will weaken domestic demand. Price pressures—stemming from high energy prices in 2022—are expected to moderate but will persist for core inflation. Growth is projected to pick up over the medium-term, underpinned by investments and reforms in the Recovery and Resilience Plan (RRP).

Author: International Monetary
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 82

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Book Description
Greece has weathered the pandemic well, with a considerably stronger-than-expected recovery. Reforms progressed in several areas, including digitalization, privatization, improving the fiscal policy mix, and bank balance sheet repair. Greece finalized its early repayment to the IMF on April 4 and is expected to graduate from the quarterly European Institutions’ Enhanced Surveillance framework on schedule by August 2022. Despite the adverse impact of the war in Ukraine, growth is projected to remain robust at 3.5 percent this year. High energy prices are expected to push up average inflation to 6.1 percent. Public debt is on a downward trajectory and rollover risks appear manageable. The external position last year was moderately weaker than that consistent with fundamentals and desirable policies.

Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513522035
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 81

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Book Description
This 2019 Article IV Consultation with Cyprus discusses that following a period of very rapid growth in the aftermath of the economic crisis, growth is gradually settling in at a more sustainable but still relatively robust pace despite the external slowdown. Output is projected to rise by around 3 percent in 2019–20, supported by construction and services sectors. Good progress has been made in addressing domestic and external stability risks arising from legacies of the financial crisis. Sales of nonperforming loans (NPLs), amendments to the foreclosure and insolvency framework and resolution of a large systemic bank have helped strengthen bank balance sheets. Reversal of reforms to the foreclosure framework would hinder ongoing NPL resolution efforts and create risks for financial stability. Realization of contingent liabilities from the still weak banking sector or increased fiscal spending pressures could undermine investor confidence, raising interest costs and depressing growth. Cyprus needs to build on recent gains by advancing reforms to secure macroeconomic stability, enhance efficiency and strengthen productivity and growth potential.

Author: International Monetary
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 84

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Book Description
The Bahamas is experiencing a tourism-led rebound. Real GDP growth in 2021 was close to 14 percent, as stayover tourist arrivals doubled relative to 2020. The economy is projected to expand by 8 percent in 2022. Nonetheless, it will likely take until 2024 to return to the 2019 level of GDP and the pandemic has given rise to significant human and social costs. The country’s medium-term growth challenges are likely worse than before, and public finances are in a more precarious state. Risks are skewed downwards given a difficult near-term financing situation, rising inflationary—and potentially BOP—pressures because of the war in Ukraine, an ongoing threat from the evolving pandemic, and the country’s high vulnerability to natural disasters.

Author: International Monetary
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 91

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Book Description
Grenada’s economy was hit hard by the pandemic, with a decline in real output of 14 percent in 2020 from both a collapse of tourism-related activities and the suspension of in-person classes at Saint George’s University (SGU). Growth in 2021 is estimated to have partly recovered to 5.6 percent, driven by construction and agriculture. The authorities’ policy response helped mitigate the pandemic’s impact through containment measures, increased health and social spending, and an expanded public investment program (including to build resilience to natural disasters). Central government debt rose to 70 percent of GDP in 2021 (from 59 percent in 2019) and the external position has worsened. The financial sector has so far weathered the crisis well.

Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 79

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Book Description
Greece’s economic outlook has improved notably, but significant challenges remain. The economy has resumed income convergence, ending a decade of stagnation with high unemployment and low investment amid large deleveraging. Real GDP has expanded beyond the pre-pandemic trend level, driven by the cyclical recovery of tourism demand and the resumption of structural reforms and investment in the context of Next Generation EU. Strong growth and high inflation have brought the public debt-to-GDP ratio down below its pre-pandemic level with limited financing risks in the medium term due to the favorable debt structure. However, despite regaining sovereign investment grade status and improving bank balance sheets, the economy is facing macro-financial challenges amid significant monetary policy tightening, persistent core inflation, and rising real estate prices. Structural imbalances arising from low household savings and still low level of investment as well as increasing risks from climate change are weighing on medium-term growth prospects.

Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484359836
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 52

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Book Description
This paper discusses Cyprus’ Second Post-Program Monitoring Discussions. Cyprus’s economic recovery has strengthened. GDP growth has reached 3.9 percent in 2017, with upbeat activity concentrated in construction, tourism and professional services. The unemployment rate has continued to decline at a sustained pace, while moderate price and wage rises have supported competitiveness, helping to contain the increase in the current account deficit, despite higher imports. Improved economic conditions have supported robust fiscal revenue collection, contributing to a sizable primary surplus and a decline in the public debt ratio. The current strong expansion is forecast to extend well into the future, with growth inching up to 4 percent in 2018 and 4.2 percent in 2019.

Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484387341
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 80

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Book Description
Cyprus is recovering strongly from the 2012–13 crisis. GDP growth is projected to remain above 4 percent in 2018–19, buoyed by services and foreign-financed construction. Unemployment is rapidly declining while large fiscal primary surpluses are putting public debt back on a declining path. Nevertheless, crisis legacies continue to weigh on the banking system. In early 2018, difficulties in the Cyprus Cooperative Bank led the authorities to intervene, albeit at a significant fiscal cost. In the process, a package of legislative measures strengthening the insolvency and foreclosure regime was also approved, which is now catalyzing the cleanup of bank balance sheets. These developments have led to a sovereign ratings upgrade, restoring Cyprus’s investment grade status.

Author: Statistical Office of the European Communities
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484332768
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 80

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Book Description
This 2017 Article IV Consultation highlights that the Cypriot economy has achieved an impressive turnaround since the 2012–13 banking crisis. GDP growth has been accelerating for three consecutive years on strong foreign demand. Rising labor demand has sharply lowered the unemployment rate to 10.3 percent as of September 2017. Emergency liquidity assistance to banks has been fully repaid. Gains in cost competitiveness and strong foreign demand have narrowed the underlying current account deficit (excluding large one-off imports). The current strong growth momentum is expected to persist for the next several years, underpinned by ongoing large construction projects and weak payment discipline.