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Author: Evgueni D. Solojentsev Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 0387779469 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 450
Book Description
This book proposes a uniform logic and probabilistic (LP) approach to risk estimation and analysis in engineering and economics. It covers the methodological and theoretical basis of risk management at the design, test, and operation stages of economic, banking, and engineering systems with groups of incompatible events (GIE). This edition includes new chapters providing a detailed treatment of scenario logic and probabilistic models for revealing bribes. It also contains clear definitions and notations, revised sections and chapters, an extended list of references, and a new subject index, as well as more than a hundred illustrations and tables which motivate the presentation.
Author: Evgueni D. Solojentsev Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 0387779469 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 450
Book Description
This book proposes a uniform logic and probabilistic (LP) approach to risk estimation and analysis in engineering and economics. It covers the methodological and theoretical basis of risk management at the design, test, and operation stages of economic, banking, and engineering systems with groups of incompatible events (GIE). This edition includes new chapters providing a detailed treatment of scenario logic and probabilistic models for revealing bribes. It also contains clear definitions and notations, revised sections and chapters, an extended list of references, and a new subject index, as well as more than a hundred illustrations and tables which motivate the presentation.
Author: Evgueni D. Solojentsev Publisher: Springer ISBN: 9780387569659 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 450
Book Description
This book proposes a uniform logic and probabilistic (LP) approach to risk estimation and analysis in engineering and economics. It covers the methodological and theoretical basis of risk management at the design, test, and operation stages of economic, banking, and engineering systems with groups of incompatible events (GIE). This edition includes new chapters providing a detailed treatment of scenario logic and probabilistic models for revealing bribes. It also contains clear definitions and notations, revised sections and chapters, an extended list of references, and a new subject index, as well as more than a hundred illustrations and tables which motivate the presentation.
Author: Eugene Solozhentsev Publisher: Cambridge Scholars Publishing ISBN: 1527505103 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 255
Book Description
This book introduces a new scientific approach to the economy and a new academic discipline titled “Socioeconomic safety management” (SSM) on the basis of the event approach and logical and probabilistic (LP) risk models. It addresses the definitions of invalidity in the economy through analogies with reliability in engineering. The special features and advantages of the discipline and its components are outlined here, with a specific focus on the methods, models, technologies, tasks, objects and software. New types of Boolean “events-propositions” in economy are also introduced, as are new types of risk LP-models. The examples of various types of socioeconomic systems provided here demonstrate that it is very difficult to solve socioeconomic problems without the involvement of scientists and public opinion; that the creation of top priority socioeconomic systems is impossible without reforms in education, science and the economy; and that the future development of the SSM requires the certification of special software. The book shows that economic efficiency can increase if, in conjunction with micro- and macroeconomics, the problems of socioeconomic safety management are explored. The book is intended for economists and managers who are interested in the problem of economic safety management. It will also be useful to undergraduate and postgraduate students of economics and their teachers.
Author: E.D. Solozhentsev Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 9400742886 Category : Technology & Engineering Languages : en Pages : 306
Book Description
This book presents intellectual, innovative, information technologies (I3-technologies) based on logical and probabilistic (LP) risk models. The technologies presented here consider such models for structurally complex systems and processes with logical links and with random events in economics and technology. The volume describes the following components of risk management technologies: LP-calculus; classes of LP-models of risk and efficiency; procedures for different classes; special software for different classes; examples of applications; methods for the estimation of probabilities of events based on expert information. Also described are a variety of training courses in these topics. The classes of risk models treated here are: LP-modeling, LP-classification, LP-efficiency, and LP-forecasting. Particular attention is paid to LP-models of risk of failure to resolve difficult economic and technical problems. Amongst the discussed procedures of I3-technologies are the construction of LP-models, LP-identification of risk models; LP-risk analysis, LP-management and LP-forecasting of risk. The book further considers LP-models of risk of invalidity of systems and processes in accordance with the requirements of ISO 9001-2008, LP-models of bank operational risks in accordance with the requirements of Basel-2, complex risk LP-models for preventing ammunition depot explosions, enterprise electric power supply systems, debugging tests of technical systems, etc. The book also considers LP-models of credit risks, securities portfolios, operational risks in banking, conteraction of bribes and corruption, etc. A number of applications is given to show the effectiveness of risk management technologies. In addition, topics of lectures and practical computer exercises intended for a two-semester course “Risk management technologies” are suggested.
Author: Vladimir Rykov Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 178630001X Category : Mathematics Languages : en Pages : 228
Book Description
This book is based on a lecture course to students specializing in the safety of technological processes and production. The author focuses on three main problems in technological risks and safety: elements of reliability theory, the basic notions, models and methods of general risk theory and some aspects of insurance in the context of risk management. Although the material in this book is aimed at those working towards a bachelor's degree in engineering, it may also be of interest to postgraduate students and specialists dealing with problems related to reliability and risks.
Author: Maja Levi-Jakšić Publisher: University of Belgrade, Faculty of Organizational Sciences ISBN: 8676802556 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 2004
Author: Mohammad Heydari Publisher: Routledge ISBN: 1000707555 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 252
Book Description
The book examines a relatively unexplored issue in supply chain risk management, which is how long companies specifically take to respond to catastrophic events of low probability but high impact. The book also looks at why such supply chain disruptions are unavoidable, and consequently, all complex supply chains are inherently at risk. The book illustrates how companies can respond to supply chain disruptions with faster responses and in shorter lead-times to reduce impact. In reducing total response time, designing solutions, and deploying a recovery plan sooner after a disruption in anticipation of such events, companies reduce the impact of disruption risk. The book also explores the basics of multiple-criteria decision-making (MCDM) and analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and how they contribute to both the quality of the financial economic decision-making process and the quality of the resulting decisions. The book illustrates through cases in the construction sector how this industry has become more complex and riskier due to the diverse nature of activities among global companies.