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Author: Rajnish Mehra Publisher: Now Publishers Inc ISBN: 1601980647 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 97
Book Description
Over two decades ago, Mehra and Prescott (1985) challenged the finance profession with a poser: the historical US equity premium is an order of magnitude greater than can be rationalized in the context of the standard neoclassical paradigm of financial economics. This regularity, dubbed "the equity premium puzzle," has spawned a plethora of research efforts to explain it away. In this review, the author takes a retrospective look at the original paper and explains the conclusion that the equity premium is not a premium for bearing non-diversifiable risk
Author: Rajnish Mehra Publisher: Now Publishers Inc ISBN: 1601980647 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 97
Book Description
Over two decades ago, Mehra and Prescott (1985) challenged the finance profession with a poser: the historical US equity premium is an order of magnitude greater than can be rationalized in the context of the standard neoclassical paradigm of financial economics. This regularity, dubbed "the equity premium puzzle," has spawned a plethora of research efforts to explain it away. In this review, the author takes a retrospective look at the original paper and explains the conclusion that the equity premium is not a premium for bearing non-diversifiable risk
Author: Kevin Rink Publisher: GRIN Verlag ISBN: 3640607759 Category : Languages : en Pages : 69
Book Description
Bachelor Thesis from the year 2010 in the subject Business economics - Business Management, Corporate Governance, grade: 1,0, European Business School - International University Schlo Reichartshausen Oestrich-Winkel, language: English, abstract: Ever since the equity premium puzzle (EEP) was published by Mehra and Prescott (1985), it has become one of the most investigated problems in economics (Mehra, 2003, p. 54). The EEP describes the fact that we cannot link historic stock returns with the volatility of consumption growth (in a sense to be made precise below). Mehra and Prescott call this a puzzle as their consumption-based asset pricing model can not plausibly explain the S&P 500's annual risk premium of 6.2% over relatively risk-free governmental treasury bills between 1889 and 1978. This model reproduces an equity premium of 6.2% solely by adapting unreasonable estimates of agents' risk aversion (Mehra & Prescott, 1985, pp. 155-156). In this way, the model also predicts an extreme size of the risk-free rate (Cochrane, 2000, p. 416). Thus, the equity premium is not able to be explained exclusively by the risk of stock price fluctuations. (...) This thesis will examine the EPP from a behavioral perspective. The major research question to be pursued is this: How do behavioral approaches explain the equity premium puzzle? In order to answer this question, a variety of subtasks must be addressed. This includes the investigation of the initial model of Mehra and Prescott (1985) as well as its underlying assumptions. That is, in particular, needed because several well-established classical assumptions must be dropped to set up descriptive behavioral models. In addition, implications from psychology and behavioral economics must be introduced to answer the overall question of this thesis. Hence, the thesis will focus on the notions of loss aversion, narrow framing, and regret theory in an effort to explain the EPP. (...) The remainder of this thesis is or
Author: Nicholas Barberis Publisher: ISBN: Category : Rate of return Languages : en Pages : 56
Book Description
We review a recent approach to understanding the equity premium puzzle. The key elements of this approach are loss aversion and narrow framing, two well-known features of decision-making under risk in experimental settings. In equilibrium, models that incorporate these ideas can generate a large equity premium and a low and stable risk-free rate, even when consumption growth is smooth and only weakly correlated with the stock market. Moreover, they can do so for parameter values that correspond to sensible attitudes to independent monetary gambles. We conclude by suggesting some possible directions for future research.
Author: Rajnish Mehra Publisher: Elsevier ISBN: 0080555853 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 635
Book Description
Edited by Rajnish Mehra, this volume focuses on the equity risk premium puzzle, a term coined by Mehra and Prescott in 1985 which encompasses a number of empirical regularities in the prices of capital assets that are at odds with the predictions of standard economic theory.
Author: Publisher: GRIN Verlag ISBN: 3346428869 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 24
Book Description
Seminar paper from the year 2018 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1.7, University of Hamburg, language: English, abstract: The work investigates the Equity Premium Puzzle as described by Siegel and Thaler in 1997. Investigations in the thesis are centered around the question of how behavioral economics can explain the anomalies of stock markets and the equity premium. As the research question implies, this work will examine solutions of the puzzle suggested from both the field of rational economics and behavioral economics. Due to a large number of various approaches to explain the puzzle over the past 30 years, this work will concentrate on a selected number of suggestions from various economists. I will examine assumptions and conditions of the solutions suggested, and analyze key theories applied in the resolutions. The quantitative foundation of models analyzed in this work will not be examined, as this would require detailed statistical and mathematical considerations. The work is structured as follows. I will to begin with outline the initial puzzle stated by Mehra and Prescott in 1985 and analyze key assumptions of their equilibrium model. Different resolutions of the puzzle suggested by rational and behavioral economics will then be examined, followed by an investigation of the empirical evidence behind the proposed solutions. A discussion will follow, and the author will reflect on the robustness and relevance of the puzzle. A conclusion will sum up the key elements of the work.
Author: S. Nuri Erbas Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 64
Book Description
With cross-section data from 53 emerging and mature markets, we provide evidence that equity premium puzzle is a global phenomenon. In addition to risk aversion, equity premium may reflect ambiguity aversion. We explore the sources of equity premium using some pertinent fundamental independent variables, as well as the World Bank institutional quality indexes and other proxies for the degree of ambiguity in the sample countries. Some World Bank and other indexes are statistically significant, which indicates that a large part of equity premium may reflect investor aversion to ambiguities resulting from institutional weaknesses.
Author: Stephen Giovanni Cecchetti Publisher: ISBN: Category : Dividends Languages : en Pages : 64
Book Description
This paper investigates the ability of a representative agent model with time separable utility to explain the mean vector and the covariance matrix of the risk free interest rate and the return to leveraged equity in the stock market. The paper generalizes the standard calibration methodology by accounting for the uncertainty in both the sample moments to be explained and the estimated parameters to which the model is calibrated. We develop a testing framework to evaluate the model's ability to match the moments of the data. We study two forms of the model, both of which treat leverage in a manner consistent with the data. In the first, dividends explicitly represent the flow that accrues to the owner of the equity, and they are discounted by the marginal rate of intertemporal substitution defined over consumption. The second form of the model introduces bonds and treats equities as the residual claim to the total endowment stream. We find that the first moments of the data can be matched for a wide range of preference parameter values. But for both models the implied first and second moments taken together are always statistically significantly different from the data at standard levels. This last result contrasts sharply with other recent treatments of leverage in the literature.
Author: Robert Shuler Publisher: ISBN: 9780991113002 Category : Finance Languages : en Pages : 272
Book Description
The guy who discovered the equity premium does not invest in it. He is not the only one. High profile money managers routinely fail to measure up to the indexes they compare themselves to. That says a lot about why the equity "premium" is considered a puzzle. How would you get it if you wanted to? What is it? Stocks, also called equities, as a group not individually provide 7% to 8% higher returns than bonds or mortgages or most other kinds of investments whenever you look at periods 20 years or longer. How can the returns of a group of stocks be greater than the returns of individual stocks? It seems to violate arithmetic. The whole is greater than the sum of the parts because stock indexes are perpetual. They rotate in new companies which have achieved the requirements of the index (not flighty new issues) to replace older companies which are declining. You can do this. Change the lives of yourself and all your descendents. Might some of them live more than 20 years even if you don't? Learn how you can dramatically improve your investing style, why you should not worry about the FED, what you should have as long term goals instead of a career or retirement, why your career or small businesses is not diversified, the advantage of stocks over real estate or bonds, and how to rely more on being an investor. Learn the reasons behind market behavior, not simple prescriptions. Learn why stock picking is a bad idea, and what to do instead. Learn when and how to use credit, and why keeping your money in a bank may not be safe. Explore how your feelings about money and the origin of money influence you. Did you know the Roman Empire used almost no gold, and in the Bronze Age money was grain and you could eat it?
Author: Rajnish Mehra
Author: Philippe Weil
Author: Rajnish Mehra
Author: Kevin Rink
Author: Nicholas Barberis
Author: Rajnish Mehra
Author: Rajnish Mehra
Author: 
Author: S. Nuri Erbas
Author: Stephen Giovanni Cecchetti
Author: Robert Shuler