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Designing a Simple Loss Function for Central Banks

Designing a Simple Loss Function for Central Banks PDF Author: Davide Debortoli
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484309278
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 56

Book Description
Yes, it makes a lot of sense. This paper studies how to design simple loss functions for central banks, as parsimonious approximations to social welfare. We show, both analytically and quantitatively, that simple loss functions should feature a high weight on measures of economic activity, sometimes even larger than the weight on inflation. Two main factors drive our result. First, stabilizing economic activity also stabilizes other welfare relevant variables. Second, the estimated model features mitigated inflation distortions due to a low elasticity of substitution between monopolistic goods and a low interest rate sensitivity of demand. The result holds up in the presence of measurement errors, with large shocks that generate a trade-off between stabilizing inflation and resource utilization, and also when ensuring a low probability of hitting the zero lower bound on interest rates.

Designing a Simple Loss Function for Central Banks

Designing a Simple Loss Function for Central Banks PDF Author: Davide Debortoli
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484309278
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 56

Book Description
Yes, it makes a lot of sense. This paper studies how to design simple loss functions for central banks, as parsimonious approximations to social welfare. We show, both analytically and quantitatively, that simple loss functions should feature a high weight on measures of economic activity, sometimes even larger than the weight on inflation. Two main factors drive our result. First, stabilizing economic activity also stabilizes other welfare relevant variables. Second, the estimated model features mitigated inflation distortions due to a low elasticity of substitution between monopolistic goods and a low interest rate sensitivity of demand. The result holds up in the presence of measurement errors, with large shocks that generate a trade-off between stabilizing inflation and resource utilization, and also when ensuring a low probability of hitting the zero lower bound on interest rates.

Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality

Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality PDF Author: Jonathan Benchimol
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498324584
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 52

Book Description
The form of bounded rationality characterizing the representative agent is key in the choice of the optimal monetary policy regime. While inflation targeting prevails for myopia that distorts agents' inflation expectations, price level targeting emerges as the optimal policy under myopia regarding the output gap, revenue, or interest rate. To the extent that bygones are not bygones under price level targeting, rational inflation expectations is a minimal condition for optimality in a behavioral world. Instrument rules implementation of this optimal policy is shown to be infeasible, questioning the ability of simple rules à la Taylor (1993) to assist the conduct of monetary policy. Bounded rationality is not necessarily associated with welfare losses.

The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions

The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions PDF Author: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780894991967
Category : Banks and Banking
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
Provides an in-depth overview of the Federal Reserve System, including information about monetary policy and the economy, the Federal Reserve in the international sphere, supervision and regulation, consumer and community affairs and services offered by Reserve Banks. Contains several appendixes, including a brief explanation of Federal Reserve regulations, a glossary of terms, and a list of additional publications.

Informational Efficiency, Interest Rate Variability, and Central Bank Operations

Informational Efficiency, Interest Rate Variability, and Central Bank Operations PDF Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451844344
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 27

Book Description
It is shown how the frequency of central bank intervention in financial markets can affect the incentives for economic agents to acquire information, which will be reflected in market prices and thus become available to policy makers. The optimal frequency of intervention, and therefore the optimal interest rate variability, will balance the desirability of attaining given operational targets against the benefits of encouraging informational efficiency. The ability of the central bank to send clear signals of its own intentions will also depend on market informational efficiency.

Capitalizing Central Banks

Capitalizing Central Banks PDF Author: Mr.Alain Ize
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 145186034X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 27

Book Description
This paper provides a simple, quantitative, net worth-based, approach to assessing the need for central bank capital. It derives a concept of "core capital" (a function of the central bank's operating expenditures and the carrying cost of its international reserves) as the minimum capital needed by a central bank to ensure the credibility of its inflation target. The approach is illustrated with the published accounts of three loss-making central banks and selected accounting entries for a broader sample of central banks. Policy implications are explored. In particular, the paper argues that central bank capitalizations cannot be automatic and require instead a broad policy debate.

An Index for Transparency for Inflation-Targeting Central Banks: Application to the Czech National Bank

An Index for Transparency for Inflation-Targeting Central Banks: Application to the Czech National Bank PDF Author: Rania A. Al-Mashat
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484379535
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 71

Book Description
This paper develops a new central bank transparency index for inflation-targeting central banks (CBT-IT index). It applies the CBT-IT index to the Czech National Bank (CNB), one of the most transparent inflation-targeting central banks. The CNB has invested heavily in developing a Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS) to implement a full-fledged inflation-forecast-targeting (IFT) regime. The components of CBT-IT index include measures of transparency about monetary policy objectives, the FPAS designed to support IFT, and the monetary policymaking process. For the CNB, all three components have shown substantial improvements over time but a few gaps remain. The CNB is currently working on eliminating some of these gaps.

Asset Prices and Central Bank Policy

Asset Prices and Central Bank Policy PDF Author: Stephen Giovanni Cecchetti
Publisher: Centre for Economic Policy Research
ISBN: 9781898128533
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 164

Book Description
Concludes the role of asset prices in monetary policy is one of the most important, and difficult, questions confronting central banks.

Central Banking

Central Banking PDF Author: Thammarak Moenjak
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118832469
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 341

Book Description
Understand the theories and interpret the actions of modern central banks Central Banking takes a comprehensive look at the topic of central banking, and provides readers with an understanding and insights into the roles and functions of modern central banks in advanced as well as emerging economies, theories behind their thinking, and actual operations practices. The book takes a systematic approach to the topic, while providing an accessible format and style that is appropriate for general audiences and students with only a minimal macroeconomic background. Theoretical reviews and examples of how the theories are applied in practice are presented in an easy-to-understand manner and serve as a guide for readers to further investigate specific ancillary central banking topics and as a means to make informed judgments about central bank actions. Important topics covered in the book include: Evolution of central banking functions and the international monetary system Theoretical backgrounds that are the foundation to the modern practice of monetary policy Monetary policy regimes, including exchange rate targeting, money supply growth targeting, the risk management approach, inflation targeting, and unconventional monetary policy. Actual practice in market operations and transmission mechanisms of monetary policy The exchange rate and central banking Theoretical backgrounds related to various dimensions of financial stability Current developments with regards to sustaining financial stability The future of central banking in the wake of the 2007-2010 global financial crisis Case studies on relevant practical issues and key concepts in central banking Designed as essential reading for students, market analysts, investors, and central banks' new recruits, Central Banking better positions readers to interpret the actions of central banks and to understand the complexities of their position in the global financial arena.

Money As Indicator for the Natural Rate of Interest

Money As Indicator for the Natural Rate of Interest PDF Author: Mr.Helge Berger
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1463930550
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 52

Book Description
The natural interest rate is of great relevance to central banks, but it is difficult to measure. We show that in a standard microfounded monetary model, the natural interest rate co-moves with a transformation of the money demand that can be computed from actual data. The co-movement is of a considerable magnitude and independent of monetary policy. An optimizing central bank that does not observe the natural interest rate can take advantage of this co-movement by incorporating the transformed money demand, in addition to the observed output gap and inflation, into a simple but optimal interest rate rule. Combining the transformed money demand and the observed output gap provides the best information about the natural interest rate.

Should Inequality Factor Into Central Banks' Decisions?

Should Inequality Factor Into Central Banks' Decisions? PDF Author: Niels-Jakob Harbo Hansen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description