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Author: Walter Friedman Publisher: Princeton University Press ISBN: 0691159114 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 288
Book Description
A gripping history of the pioneers who sought to use science to predict financial markets The period leading up to the Great Depression witnessed the rise of the economic forecasters, pioneers who sought to use the tools of science to predict the future, with the aim of profiting from their forecasts. This book chronicles the lives and careers of the men who defined this first wave of economic fortune tellers, men such as Roger Babson, Irving Fisher, John Moody, C. J. Bullock, and Warren Persons. They competed to sell their distinctive methods of prediction to investors and businesses, and thrived in the boom years that followed World War I. Yet, almost to a man, they failed to predict the devastating crash of 1929. Walter Friedman paints vivid portraits of entrepreneurs who shared a belief that the rational world of numbers and reason could tame--or at least foresee--the irrational gyrations of the market. Despite their failures, this first generation of economic forecasters helped to make the prediction of economic trends a central economic activity, and shed light on the mechanics of financial markets by providing a range of statistics and information about individual firms. They also raised questions that are still relevant today. What is science and what is merely guesswork in forecasting? What motivates people to buy forecasts? Does the act of forecasting set in motion unforeseen events that can counteract the forecast made? Masterful and compelling, Fortune Tellers highlights the risk and uncertainty that are inherent to capitalism itself.
Author: Walter Friedman Publisher: Princeton University Press ISBN: 0691159114 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 288
Book Description
A gripping history of the pioneers who sought to use science to predict financial markets The period leading up to the Great Depression witnessed the rise of the economic forecasters, pioneers who sought to use the tools of science to predict the future, with the aim of profiting from their forecasts. This book chronicles the lives and careers of the men who defined this first wave of economic fortune tellers, men such as Roger Babson, Irving Fisher, John Moody, C. J. Bullock, and Warren Persons. They competed to sell their distinctive methods of prediction to investors and businesses, and thrived in the boom years that followed World War I. Yet, almost to a man, they failed to predict the devastating crash of 1929. Walter Friedman paints vivid portraits of entrepreneurs who shared a belief that the rational world of numbers and reason could tame--or at least foresee--the irrational gyrations of the market. Despite their failures, this first generation of economic forecasters helped to make the prediction of economic trends a central economic activity, and shed light on the mechanics of financial markets by providing a range of statistics and information about individual firms. They also raised questions that are still relevant today. What is science and what is merely guesswork in forecasting? What motivates people to buy forecasts? Does the act of forecasting set in motion unforeseen events that can counteract the forecast made? Masterful and compelling, Fortune Tellers highlights the risk and uncertainty that are inherent to capitalism itself.
Author: K.C. Jones Publisher: Chronicle Books ISBN: 1452158193 Category : Body, Mind & Spirit Languages : en Pages : 370
Book Description
A compendium of fun and entertaining ways to understand your future, taken from entries in the bestselling Fortune-Telling series. In this book lie the answers to your future. Reveal the meanings of your name, birthday, zodiac sign, and dreams. Unveil the significance of your color choices, friendships, and love interests. Discover what is foretold, learn to read auspicious omens, and divine the gift of attracting good fortune. Consult The Golden Book of Fortune-Telling and uncover the wisdom of the ages—and the power to shape your destiny.
Author: Lucy BOWMAN Publisher: ISBN: 9781474927994 Category : Family & Relationships Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
Create 80 unique fortune tellers, a form of origami used in children's games, with this beautifully illustrated, tear-out pad. There are fortune tellers on lots of different themes, including the circus, robots and dreams, plus blank sheets for children to invent their own games. Perfect for playing alone or with friends and family.
Author: Gwendolyn Womack Publisher: Picador USA ISBN: 1250099773 Category : Fiction Languages : en Pages : 369
Book Description
NOW A USA TODAY AND LOS ANGELES TIMES BESTSELLER From the award-winning author of The Memory Painter comes a sweeping and suspenseful tale of romance, fate, and fortune. Semele Cavnow appraises antiquities for an exclusive Manhattan auction house, deciphering ancient texts—and when she discovers a manuscript written in the time of Cleopatra, she knows it will be the find of her career. Its author tells the story of a priceless tarot deck, now lost to history, but as Semele delves further, she realizes the manuscript is more than it seems. Both a memoir and a prophecy, it appears to be the work of a powerful seer, describing devastating wars and natural disasters in detail thousands of years before they occurred. The more she reads, the more the manuscript begins to affect Semele’s life. But what happened to the tarot deck? As the mystery of her connection to its story deepens, Semele can’t shake the feeling that she’s being followed. Only one person can help her make sense of it all: her client, Theo Bossard. Yet Theo is arrogant and elusive, concealing secrets of his own, and there’s more to Semele’s desire to speak with him than she would like to admit. Can Semele even trust him? The auction date is swiftly approaching, and someone wants to interfere—someone who knows the cards exist, and that the Bossard manuscript is tied to her. Semele realizes it’s up to her to stop them: the manuscript holds the key to a two-thousand-year-old secret, a secret someone will do anything to possess.
Author: Chronicle Books Publisher: Chronicle Books ISBN: 081187074X Category : Body, Mind & Spirit Languages : en Pages : 205
Book Description
Discover the meaning behind your birthday, identify your ideal mate, and more with this handy little guide. Forget cookies and crystal balls—this little book has a personalized fortune for you and everyone you love. Harkening back to the 1930s, the nostalgic illustrations in the Fortune-Telling Birthday Book accompany a perennial calendar for you to keep track of (and interpret) the birthdays of all your friends and family. Other traditions and folklore are also included—birthstones and their meanings, astrological signs, ideal mates, flowers of the month, and anniversary symbols.
Author: Riccardo Rebonato Publisher: Princeton University Press ISBN: 1400824370 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 303
Book Description
Today's top financial-risk professionals have come to rely on ever-more sophisticated mathematics in their attempts to come to grips with financial risk. But this excessive reliance on quantitative precision is misleading--and it puts us all at risk. This is the case that Riccardo Rebonato makes in Plight of the Fortune Tellers--and coming from someone who is both an experienced market professional and an academic, this heresy is worth listening to. Rebonato forcefully argues that we must restore genuine decision making to our financial planning, and he shows us how to do it using probability, experimental psychology, and decision theory. This is the only way to effectively manage financial risk in a manner congruent with how human beings actually react to chance. Rebonato challenges us to rethink the standard wisdom about probability in financial-risk management. Risk managers have become obsessed with measuring risk and believe that these quantitative results by themselves can guide sound financial choices--but they can't. In this book, Rebonato offers a radical yet surprisingly commonsense solution, one that seeks to remind us that managing risk comes down to real people making decisions under uncertainty. Plight of the Fortune Tellers is not only a book for the decision makers of Wall Street, it's a must-read for anyone concerned about how today's financial markets are run. The stakes have never been higher--can you risk it?
Author: Brenda Serotte Publisher: U of Nebraska Press ISBN: 080324326X Category : Biography & Autobiography Languages : en Pages : 246
Book Description
This is the memoir of a Sephardic Jewish girl living among Ashkenazi neighbors in the Bronx. She comes down with polio just before her eighth birthday. She begins a fight against immobility set within a cultural realm where Catholic and Jew and Turkish Moslem once met. Where a beautiful aunt could be abducted into a Turkish harem and another aunt could still keep the 400-year-old iron key to the family house in the Cordoba of the Spanish Inquisition.
Author: Lloyd Alexander Publisher: ISBN: 9780756797065 Category : Cameroon Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
"A carpenter in the West African country of Cameroon goes to a fortune teller and finds the predictions about his future coming true in an unusual way" -- Title page verso.
Author: Marc Lemezma Publisher: New Holland Australia(AU) ISBN: 9781845374211 Category : Body, Mind & Spirit Languages : en Pages : 136
Book Description
Fortune-telling, in its various guises, is as popular now as ever, though it is still regarded as a mysterious and complex process. Marc Lemezma breaks the subject down into all the practical elements of the various fortune telling disciplines - covering runes, tarot, palmistry, cartomancy, and astrology.
Author: Tiziano Terzani Publisher: Crown ISBN: 0307565734 Category : Biography & Autobiography Languages : en Pages : 386
Book Description
Warned by a Hong Kong fortune-teller not to risk flying for a whole year, Tiziano Terzani — a vastly experienced Asia correspondent — took what he called “the first step into an unknown world. . . . It turned out to be one of the most extraordinary years I have ever spent: I was marked for death, and instead I was reborn.” Traveling by foot, boat, bus, car, and train, he visited Burma, Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, Vietnam, China, Mongolia, Japan, Indonesia, Singapore, and Malaysia. Geography expanded under his feet. He consulted soothsayers, sorcerers, and shamans and received much advice — some wise, some otherwise — about his future. With time to think, he learned to understand, respect, and fear for older ways of life and beliefs now threatened by the crasser forms of Western modernity. He rediscovered a place he had been reporting on for decades. And it reinvigorated him. The result is an immensely engaging, insightful, and idiosyncratic journey, filled with unexpected delights and strange encounters. A bestseller and major prizewinner in Italy, A Fortune-Teller Told Me is a powerful warning against the new missionaries of materialism.
Author: Walter Friedman
Author: Walter Friedman
Author: K.C. Jones
Author: Lucy BOWMAN
Author: Gwendolyn Womack
Author: Chronicle Books
Author: Riccardo Rebonato
Author: Brenda Serotte
Author: Lloyd Alexander
Author: Marc Lemezma
Author: Tiziano Terzani