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Author: Ian Hacking Publisher: Cambridge University Press ISBN: 1107144957 Category : Mathematics Languages : en Pages : 229
Book Description
This book showcases Ian Hacking's early ideas on the central issues surrounding statistical reasoning. Presented in a fresh twenty-first-century series livery, and with a specially commissioned new preface, this influential work is now available for a new generation of readers in statistics, philosophy of science and philosophy of maths.
Author: Ian Hacking Publisher: Cambridge University Press ISBN: 1107144957 Category : Mathematics Languages : en Pages : 229
Book Description
This book showcases Ian Hacking's early ideas on the central issues surrounding statistical reasoning. Presented in a fresh twenty-first-century series livery, and with a specially commissioned new preface, this influential work is now available for a new generation of readers in statistics, philosophy of science and philosophy of maths.
Author: Henry E. Kyburg Jr. Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 9401021759 Category : Philosophy Languages : en Pages : 440
Book Description
Everyone knows it is easy to lie with statistics. It is important then to be able to tell a statistical lie from a valid statistical inference. It is a relatively widely accepted commonplace that our scientific knowledge is not certain and incorrigible, but merely probable, subject to refinement, modifi cation, and even overthrow. The rankest beginner at a gambling table understands that his decisions must be based on mathematical ex pectations - that is, on utilities weighted by probabilities. It is widely held that the same principles apply almost all the time in the game of life. If we turn to philosophers, or to mathematical statisticians, or to probability theorists for criteria of validity in statistical inference, for the general principles that distinguish well grounded from ill grounded generalizations and laws, or for the interpretation of that probability we must, like the gambler, take as our guide in life, we find disagreement, confusion, and frustration. We might be prepared to find disagreements on a philosophical and theoretical level (although we do not find them in the case of deductive logic) but we do not expect, and we may be surprised to find, that these theoretical disagreements lead to differences in the conclusions that are regarded as 'acceptable' in the practice of science and public affairs, and in the conduct of business.
Author: Michael C. Acree Publisher: Springer Nature ISBN: 3030732576 Category : Psychology Languages : en Pages : 457
Book Description
This book proposes and explores the idea that the forced union of the aleatory and epistemic aspects of probability is a sterile hybrid, inspired and nourished for 300 years by a false hope of formalizing inductive reasoning, making uncertainty the object of precise calculation. Because this is not really a possible goal, statistical inference is not, cannot be, doing for us today what we imagine it is doing for us. It is for these reasons that statistical inference can be characterized as a myth. The book is aimed primarily at social scientists, for whom statistics and statistical inference are a common concern and frustration. Because the historical development given here is not merely anecdotal, but makes clear the guiding ideas and ambitions that motivated the formulation of particular methods, this book offers an understanding of statistical inference which has not hitherto been available. It will also serve as a supplement to the standard statistics texts. Finally, general readers will find here an interesting study with implications far beyond statistics. The development of statistical inference, to its present position of prominence in the social sciences, epitomizes a number of trends in Western intellectual history of the last three centuries, and the 11th chapter, considering the function of statistical inference in light of our needs for structure, rules, authority, and consensus in general, develops some provocative parallels, especially between epistemology and politics.
Author: Richard A. Epstein Publisher: Gulf Professional Publishing ISBN: 9780122407611 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 476
Book Description
Covering all aspects of gambling, The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic is mathematically sophisticated, but can be read for what it says about the games and strategies, skipping the technicalities. The material is fascinating and detailed, and the analysis is masterful.
Author: Deborah G. Mayo Publisher: Cambridge University Press ISBN: 1108563309 Category : Mathematics Languages : en Pages : 503
Book Description
Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.
Author: Helio S. Migon Publisher: CRC Press ISBN: 1439878803 Category : Mathematics Languages : en Pages : 388
Book Description
A Balanced Treatment of Bayesian and Frequentist Inference Statistical Inference: An Integrated Approach, Second Edition presents an account of the Bayesian and frequentist approaches to statistical inference. Now with an additional author, this second edition places a more balanced emphasis on both perspectives than the first edition. New to the Second Edition New material on empirical Bayes and penalized likelihoods and their impact on regression models Expanded material on hypothesis testing, method of moments, bias correction, and hierarchical models More examples and exercises More comparison between the approaches, including their similarities and differences Designed for advanced undergraduate and graduate courses, the text thoroughly covers statistical inference without delving too deep into technical details. It compares the Bayesian and frequentist schools of thought and explores procedures that lie on the border between the two. Many examples illustrate the methods and models, and exercises are included at the end of each chapter.
Author: David Weisburd Publisher: Springer Nature ISBN: 3030479676 Category : Social Science Languages : en Pages : 612
Book Description
This introductory textbook takes a building-block approach that emphasizes the application and interpretation of statistics in research in crime and justice. This text is meant for both students and professionals who want to gain a basic understanding of common statistical methods used in criminology and criminal justice before advancing to more complex statistical analyses in future volumes. This book emphasizes comprehension and interpretation. As the statistical methods discussed become more complex and demanding to compute, it integrates statistical software. It provides readers with an accessible understanding of popular statistical programs used to examine real-life crime and justice problems (including SPSS, Stata, and R). In addition, the book includes supplemental resources such as a glossary of key terms, practice questions, and sample data. Basic Statistics in Criminology and Criminal Justice aims to give students and researchers a core understanding of statistical concepts and methods that will leave them with the confidence and tools to tackle the statistical problems in their own research work.
Author: Ian Hacking Publisher: Cambridge University Press ISBN: 1139643614 Category : Philosophy Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
This is an introductory 2001 textbook on probability and induction written by one of the world's foremost philosophers of science. The book has been designed to offer maximal accessibility to the widest range of students (not only those majoring in philosophy) and assumes no formal training in elementary symbolic logic. It offers a comprehensive course covering all basic definitions of induction and probability, and considers such topics as decision theory, Bayesianism, frequency ideas, and the philosophical problem of induction. The key features of this book are a lively and vigorous prose style; lucid and systematic organization and presentation of ideas; many practical applications; a rich supply of exercises drawing on examples from such fields as psychology, ecology, economics, bioethics, engineering, and political science; numerous brief historical accounts of how fundamental ideas of probability and induction developed; and a full bibliography of further reading.
Author: Ian Hacking
Author: Ian Hacking
Author: Henry E. Kyburg Jr.
Author: Michael C. Acree
Author: Richard A. Epstein
Author: Deborah G. Mayo
Author: Helio S. Migon
Author: Ian Hacking
Author: Michael W. Oakes
Author: David Weisburd
Author: Ian Hacking