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Geopolitics of the South China Sea in the Coming Decades

Geopolitics of the South China Sea in the Coming Decades PDF Author: Mohammad Aminul Karim
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781536140941
Category : Geopolitics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
The South China Sea (SCS) is explicably one of the most dangerous flash points in the world today with the potential to conflagrate into conflicts/skirmishes at the slightest provocation or even by accident. The Sea is uniquely strategically, even located, as it links the Indian and Pacific Oceans through the constricted Malacca Strait. It falls along the most critical sea lanes in trade and commerce for both oceans. The Sea, therefore, is a delicate and volatile water space with overlapping and conflicting claims (under the UNCLOS and historical records) by the surrounding countries. The SCS is a bellwether for determining leadership between two major powers: The United States and China. The United States is still the predominant power, while China remains the front running challenger. Consequently, a transition is underway that is fraught with risks and uncertainty. The transition may not be as smooth as the one between the United States and the United Kingdom after the Second World War. China is rising massively, and thus gradually asserting its influence among the claimant countries of the SCS and elsewhere. That said, China wants to settle the scores with the smaller claimant countries on a one-on-one basis. So, ASEAN centrality is coming under strain, though there are moves to conclude a binding code of conduct. China is resolute to claim sovereignty almost over the entire SCS while the United States means to focus on the freedom of navigation. The United States is conducting freedom-of-navigation operations round the clock, shadowed by an increasingly strengthening PLA. Other powers such as Japan, India, and Australia with their alignments emerging are on the queue to join the fray along with the United States. However, challenging China individually is problematic. Geopolitics of the South China Sea in the Coming Decades captures all of these complexities through a comprehensive, eclectic and objective method. Another unique part of this book is that it makes futuristic projections for the next few decades in the Indo-Pacific Region.

Geopolitics of the South China Sea in the Coming Decades

Geopolitics of the South China Sea in the Coming Decades PDF Author: Mohammad Aminul Karim
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781536140941
Category : Geopolitics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
The South China Sea (SCS) is explicably one of the most dangerous flash points in the world today with the potential to conflagrate into conflicts/skirmishes at the slightest provocation or even by accident. The Sea is uniquely strategically, even located, as it links the Indian and Pacific Oceans through the constricted Malacca Strait. It falls along the most critical sea lanes in trade and commerce for both oceans. The Sea, therefore, is a delicate and volatile water space with overlapping and conflicting claims (under the UNCLOS and historical records) by the surrounding countries. The SCS is a bellwether for determining leadership between two major powers: The United States and China. The United States is still the predominant power, while China remains the front running challenger. Consequently, a transition is underway that is fraught with risks and uncertainty. The transition may not be as smooth as the one between the United States and the United Kingdom after the Second World War. China is rising massively, and thus gradually asserting its influence among the claimant countries of the SCS and elsewhere. That said, China wants to settle the scores with the smaller claimant countries on a one-on-one basis. So, ASEAN centrality is coming under strain, though there are moves to conclude a binding code of conduct. China is resolute to claim sovereignty almost over the entire SCS while the United States means to focus on the freedom of navigation. The United States is conducting freedom-of-navigation operations round the clock, shadowed by an increasingly strengthening PLA. Other powers such as Japan, India, and Australia with their alignments emerging are on the queue to join the fray along with the United States. However, challenging China individually is problematic. Geopolitics of the South China Sea in the Coming Decades captures all of these complexities through a comprehensive, eclectic and objective method. Another unique part of this book is that it makes futuristic projections for the next few decades in the Indo-Pacific Region.

China's Policy towards the South China Sea

China's Policy towards the South China Sea PDF Author: Lingqun Li
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1351657364
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 254

Book Description
This book provides an explanation of Chinese policy towards the South China Sea, and argues that this has been sculpted by the changing dynamics of the law of the sea in conjunction with regional geopolitical flux. The past few decades have witnessed a bifurcated trend in China’s management of territorial disputes. Over the years, while China gradually calmed and settled most land-border disputes with its neighbors, disputes on the ocean frontier continued to simmer in a seething cauldron. China's Policy towards the South China Sea attributes the distinctive path of China’s approach to maritime disputes to a unique factor – the law of the sea (LOS) as the "rules of the road" in the ocean. By deconstructing the concept of "sovereignty" and treating the LOS as an evolving regime, the book examines how the changing dynamics of the LOS regime have complicated and reshaped the nature and content of sovereign disputes in the ocean regime as well as the options of settlement. Applying the findings to the South China Sea case, the author traces the learning curve on which China has embarked to comprehend the complexity of the dispute accordingly and finds that it is the dynamic interaction of the law of the sea regime and the geopolitical conditions that has driven the evolution of China’s South China Sea policy. This book will be of great interest to students of Chinese and Asian politics, international law, international relations and security studies.

Arms Race

Arms Race PDF Author: Aldéric Au
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781980725411
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 123

Book Description
As friction in the South China Sea threatens to spark war, this primer brings a timely analysis of the changing power balance.As China rises, it is not in its interests to trigger a war. However, with that rise comes expanding interests; strategic, military, economic, and political, which it must protect. China is acquiring the means to defend those interests.Already China possesses the ability to bring regional nations into its orbit through economic self-interest. It will not be long before its military resources match its economic heft. Regional governments recognize the futility of opposing China and understand the benefits of cooperation. The contest for control of the South China Sea is over and China has won. China, assisted by the fecklessness of successive US presidents, has demonstrated the hollowness of American security guarantees in the region.During the coming decades Beijing will continue to pursue policies that persuade neighbors, and the United States, to face reality and accept Chinese hegemony in Asia. Increasingly China will set the terms in which others operate in Asia.The United States will not yield its primacy in Asia willingly. China's wish to create strategic space acerbates long-dormant tensions. Survival is the primary goal of any state in an anarchic international system. War would sound the death knell for Asia's rise and inflict serious damage on human progress more generally. So high are the stakes that policy makers are seeking solutions. Without compromise, leaders will use coercion as an instrument of policy. An agreed way forward is in everyone's interest.

Arms Race: China and the Geopolitics of the South China Sea

Arms Race: China and the Geopolitics of the South China Sea PDF Author: Aldéric Au
Publisher: Hawksbill
ISBN:
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 94

Book Description
As friction in the South China Sea threatens to spark war, this primer brings a timely analysis of the changing power balance. As China rises, it is not in its interests to trigger a war. However, with that rise comes expanding interests; strategic, military, economic, and political, which it must protect. China is acquiring the means to defend those interests. Already China possesses the ability to bring regional nations into its orbit through economic self-interest. It will not be long before its military resources match its economic heft. Regional governments recognize the futility of opposing China and understand the benefits of cooperation. The contest for control of the South China Sea is over and China has won. China, assisted by the fecklessness of successive US presidents, has demonstrated the hollowness of American security guarantees in the region. During the coming decades Beijing will continue to pursue policies that persuade neighbors, and the United States, to face reality and accept Chinese hegemony in Asia. Increasingly China will set the terms in which others operate in Asia. The United States will not yield its primacy in Asia willingly. China’s wish to create strategic space acerbates long-dormant tensions. Survival is the primary goal of any state in an anarchic international system. War would sound the death knell for Asia’s rise and inflict serious damage on human progress more generally. So high are the stakes that policy makers are seeking solutions. Without compromise, leaders will use coercion as an instrument of policy. An agreed way forward is in everyone’s interest.

Asia's Cauldron

Asia's Cauldron PDF Author: Robert D. Kaplan
Publisher: Random House Trade Paperbacks
ISBN: 0812984803
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 258

Book Description
NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY FINANCIAL TIMES From Robert D. Kaplan, named one of the world’s Top 100 Global Thinkers by Foreign Policy magazine, comes a penetrating look at the volatile region that will dominate the future of geopolitical conflict. Over the last decade, the center of world power has been quietly shifting from Europe to Asia. With oil reserves of several billion barrels, an estimated nine hundred trillion cubic feet of natural gas, and several centuries’ worth of competing territorial claims, the South China Sea in particular is a simmering pot of potential conflict. The underreported military buildup in the area where the Western Pacific meets the Indian Ocean means that it will likely be a hinge point for global war and peace for the foreseeable future. In Asia’s Cauldron, Robert D. Kaplan offers up a vivid snapshot of the nations surrounding the South China Sea, the conflicts brewing in the region at the dawn of the twenty-first century, and their implications for global peace and stability. One of the world’s most perceptive foreign policy experts, Kaplan interprets America’s interests in Asia in the context of an increasingly assertive China. He explains how the region’s unique geography fosters the growth of navies but also impedes aggression. And he draws a striking parallel between China’s quest for hegemony in the South China Sea and the United States’ imperial adventure in the Caribbean more than a century ago. To understand the future of conflict in East Asia, Kaplan argues, one must understand the goals and motivations of its leaders and its people. Part travelogue, part geopolitical primer, Asia’s Cauldron takes us on a journey through the region’s boom cities and ramshackle slums: from Vietnam, where the superfueled capitalism of the erstwhile colonial capital, Saigon, inspires the geostrategic pretensions of the official seat of government in Hanoi, to Malaysia, where a unique mix of authoritarian Islam and Western-style consumerism creates quite possibly the ultimate postmodern society; and from Singapore, whose “benevolent autocracy” helped foster an economic miracle, to the Philippines, where a different brand of authoritarianism under Ferdinand Marcos led not to economic growth but to decades of corruption and crime. At a time when every day’s news seems to contain some new story—large or small—that directly relates to conflicts over the South China Sea, Asia’s Cauldron is an indispensable guide to a corner of the globe that will affect all of our lives for years to come. Praise for Asia’s Cauldron “Asia’s Cauldron is a short book with a powerful thesis, and it stands out for its clarity and good sense. . . . If you are doing business in China, traveling in Southeast Asia or just obsessing about geopolitics, you will want to read it.”—The New York Times Book Review “Kaplan has established himself as one of our most consequential geopolitical thinkers. . . . [Asia’s Cauldron] is part treatise on geopolitics, part travel narrative. Indeed, he writes in the tradition of the great travel writers.”—The Weekly Standard “Kaplan’s fascinating book is a welcome challenge to the pessimists who see only trouble in China’s rise and the hawks who view it as malign.”—The Economist “Muscular, deeply knowledgeable . . . Kaplan is an ultra-realist [who] takes a non-moralistic stance on questions of power and diplomacy.”—Financial Times

The South China Sea: Challenges and Promises

The South China Sea: Challenges and Promises PDF Author: James Borton
Publisher: Xlibris Corporation
ISBN: 1503537374
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 184

Book Description
The world knows there are troubled waters in the South China Sea. This vital sea has long been regarded as a major source of tension and instability in Asia. The tense geopolitical standoff between China and Vietnam continues to create confusion for many observers since both nations invoke both history and international law to justify their respective claims of sovereignty. The complex and deeply rooted relationship of these two nations and their prominently argued issues over atolls, oil rigs, exclusive economic zones (EEZs), freedom of navigation, military surveillance, security interests, unexplored vast oil and gas reserves, and fisheries has only succeeded in forging a closer tie between two former enemies: the United States of America and the Socialist Republic of Vietnam.

Sea Power

Sea Power PDF Author: Admiral James Stavridis, USN
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 0735220611
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 386

Book Description
From one of the most admired admirals of his generation—and the only admiral to serve as Supreme Allied Commander at NATO—comes a remarkable voyage through all of the world’s most important bodies of water, providing the story of naval power as a driver of human history and a crucial element in our current geopolitical path. From the time of the Greeks and the Persians clashing in the Mediterranean, sea power has determined world power. To an extent that is often underappreciated, it still does. No one understands this better than Admiral Jim Stavridis. In Sea Power, Admiral Stavridis takes us with him on a tour of the world’s oceans from the admiral’s chair, showing us how the geography of the oceans has shaped the destiny of nations, and how naval power has in a real sense made the world we live in today, and will shape the world we live in tomorrow. Not least, Sea Power is marvelous naval history, giving us fresh insight into great naval engagements from the battles of Salamis and Lepanto through to Trafalgar, the Battle of the Atlantic, and submarine conflicts of the Cold War. It is also a keen-eyed reckoning with the likely sites of our next major naval conflicts, particularly the Arctic Ocean, Eastern Mediterranean, and the South China Sea. Finally, Sea Power steps back to take a holistic view of the plagues to our oceans that are best seen that way, from piracy to pollution. When most of us look at a globe, we focus on the shape of the of the seven continents. Admiral Stavridis sees the shapes of the seven seas. After reading Sea Power, you will too. Not since Alfred Thayer Mahan’s legendary The Influence of Sea Power upon History have we had such a powerful reckoning with this vital subject.

Great Powers Grand Strategies

Great Powers Grand Strategies PDF Author: Anders Corr
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781682477632
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 336

Book Description
Great Powers, Grand Strategies offers the analysis of a dozen experts on the "big picture" approaches to the South China Sea dispute. By exploring the international dimensions of this regional hotspot, Gordon Chang, Bernard Cole, James Fanell, Bill Hayton, and others examine how the military, diplomatic, and economic strategies of the major global actors have both contributed to solutions and exacerbated the potential for conflict. As editor of this volume, Anders Corr seeks to juxtapose the grand strategies of the great powers to determine the likely outcomes of the South China Sea dispute, as well as evaluate the ways to possibly defuse tensions in the region.

Geopolitics

Geopolitics PDF Author: Klaus Dodds
Publisher: SAGE Publications Limited
ISBN: 9781848607088
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
This major reference collection highlights the contested and diverse nature of geopolitics and charts the controversial intellectual history of the field. Coined by the Swedish author, Rudolf Kjellén, the term 'geopolitics' highlights the role that territory, resources and boundaries play in shaping global political relations. The collection brings together work from international relations, political science, history, geography and law into a definitive collection that covers three dimensions of the geopolitical: classic geopolitics, critical geopolitics, and popular geopolitics.

The South China Sea

The South China Sea PDF Author: Bill Hayton
Publisher: Yale University Press
ISBN: 0300189540
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 317

Book Description
China’s rise has upset the global balance of power, and the first place to feel the strain is Beijing’s back yard: the South China Sea. For decades tensions have smoldered in the region, but today the threat of a direct confrontation among superpowers grows ever more likely. This important book is the first to make clear sense of the South Sea disputes. Bill Hayton, a journalist with extensive experience in the region, examines the high stakes involved for rival nations that include Vietnam, India, Taiwan, the Philippines, and China, as well as the United States, Russia, and others. Hayton also lays out the daunting obstacles that stand in the way of peaceful resolution. Through lively stories of individuals who have shaped current conflicts—businessmen, scientists, shippers, archaeologists, soldiers, diplomats, and more—Hayton makes understandable the complex history and contemporary reality of the South China Sea. He underscores its crucial importance as the passageway for half the world’s merchant shipping and one-third of its oil and gas. Whoever controls these waters controls the access between Europe, the Middle East, South Asia, and the Pacific. The author critiques various claims and positions (that China has historic claim to the Sea, for example), overturns conventional wisdoms (such as America’s overblown fears of China’s nationalism and military resurgence), and outlines what the future may hold for this clamorous region of international rivalry.